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The labor market just flashed a red warning light. The U-6 unemployment rate—the broader measure that includes underemployed and discouraged workers—jumped 0.7 percentage points from September and hit 8.7% in November. That's the worst reading we've seen since August 2021.
Why should you care? This isn't just another data point. A rising U-6 typically signals recession conditions are tightening, and it tends to correlate with risk-off sentiment across asset classes, including crypto. When employment stress builds, capital often rotates toward safety—or volatility picks up as markets recalibrate expectations.
The trajectory matters too. We're not seeing stabilization; we're seeing deterioration. This data suggests economic headwinds are intensifying, and traders should be watching how this unfolds in the months ahead.