2025-12-25 03:20:12

#美联储回购协议计划 Recently, liquidity has significantly tightened, and Bitcoin and Ethereum are both oscillating within narrow ranges. During the Christmas holiday, market enthusiasm has been low, with Bitcoin's volatility only a few thousand points, and Ethereum's fluctuations even smaller. Overall, the market remains sideways and repetitive. Breaking above or below key levels is not easy, so short-term trading should maintain a low-risk mindset; taking profits when available is advisable.

From the perspective of correlated assets, liquidity, and the four-year cycle, there is still potential for a breakout, but it requires a retest confirmation. However, intraday signals have not yet materialized, so the current approach is to continue trading within the existing range.

Technically, here are some reference levels:
- Bitcoin: Consider shorting around 88,000, add to short positions at 88,500-89,000, with targets at 86,500. If momentum is strong, try aiming for 85,500. If the retest does not break below 86,000, there is a chance for a quick long entry.
- Ethereum: Short around 2,970, add to short positions at 3,020-3,030, with targets at 2,900. If momentum is strong, look at 2,850-2,860. Similarly, if the retest does not break below 2,850, long positions can be considered.

This is the general idea; further judgment will depend on the retest performance.

BTC0.77%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

ReverseFOMOguy

· 3h ago

The Christmas holiday is just sideways trading, really frustrating. Try shorting at 88,000 on the rise and see if it can break down. Waiting for a retest; how can you trade without a retest? This wave of Bitcoin might really need to confirm a震荡. It's only interesting if 2850 can't be broken on the bullish side.

View OriginalReply0

MEVSupportGroup

· 5h ago

Holiday market conditions are like this, so boring... Still, wait for the retracement confirmation before acting, don't get itchy.

View OriginalReply0

WagmiAnon

· 5h ago

Christmas holidays are really boring to death. With such small fluctuations, it still requires meticulous operation, which is a bit painful. The low-risk mindset is indeed reliable. Fast in and out during sideways trading is the key. The 88,000 level is indeed critical. Let's see if it can hold during the backtest, otherwise it will drop straight down.

View OriginalReply0

LiquidityWitch

· 5h ago

Wait, if the backtest doesn't break, just reverse immediately? I've really played this trick before. Last time, I got caught for a long time because I didn't act in time. But to be honest, during these Christmas days, there's really not much room for operation. I’d rather sit back and watch the show; taking profits and cashing out is always the right move.

View OriginalReply0

ZenMiner

· 5h ago

A bit tired. This market trend is really dull. Might as well go to sleep for Christmas and wait for the retracement.

View OriginalReply0

ConsensusDissenter

· 5h ago

Still sideways during the Christmas holiday? Wake up, this is the sign of a shakeout. Wait for confirmation of the retest, I’m not moving anyway. Almost numb to the 88,000 short positions, still waiting for that moment? Again with the low-risk thinking, I’m tired of hearing this explanation. Can the 86,000 level be broken? Honestly, I don’t believe it. The probability of Ethereum dropping below 2900 is higher. Taking profits is correct, but right now there are no chips to cash in. When will the Federal Reserve play its hand? Tightening liquidity means going long? That logic is a bit backwards. Repeated oscillations are the most annoying; should I cut losses or hold on? So conflicted.

View OriginalReply0