#比特币流动性 Bitcoin's current market trend is still oscillating within the weekly box. The upper shadow has appeared, but it's unclear whether the price will rise or fall; no definitive signal has been given yet. Above, at the 94,000 level, there is a rectangular top boundary combined with trend resistance. Without a breakout here, don't expect a one-sided upward move. The key support is at 85,000; if this ascending trend line isn't broken, it indicates continued consolidation rather than a true reversal. In simple terms, the weekly chart suggests a range-bound market.

The daily chart is weaker. The Evening Star pattern has already formed. If the next candles continue to close lower, the Three Black Crows pattern can be confirmed soon, and there is room for further decline. Two key levels to watch are: 85,200 (the lower boundary of the channel plus POC), and below that, 84,000 (the arc top neckline). For a rebound, 90,500 is the midpoint of the channel resistance—don't rush to chase. Although MACD has crossed bullish, the momentum is waning, and RSI has already formed a death cross downward. This structure makes a rebound more likely to turn into a bearish trend afterward, so chasing highs is not advisable.

The overall framework remains a rising channel, with the current price oscillating between the mid and lower boundaries. On a smaller scale, there's also an ascending consolidation pattern. The problem lies here—price is stuck at the intersection of the descending trendline and the lower boundary of the channel, which is a typical decision point. The first resistance on a rebound is at 89,300 (the midline of the small channel), and higher up is 91,000 (the midline of the larger channel). If the lower boundary of the 84,500 channel is effectively broken, the flag pattern is considered broken, and the outlook should shift to a continued decline. From the indicators, both MACD and RSI are in death crosses downward, indicating that this rebound is more of a technical correction rather than a genuine reversal.