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The 1H timeframe is in a consolidation and correction phase after a decline, with a clear low point formed around 2886. Currently, the rebound has returned to the previous dense trading zone + moving average resistance zone.
Moving Averages: Price is trading below the MA20 and near the MA60, indicating that the trend has not fully reversed and remains a sideways to bearish structure.
MACD: The green bars continue to shorten, with DIFF converging towards DEA, indicating weakening bearish momentum but no reversal.
RSI: The 1H RSI is in the 45–55 range, a typical oscillating market value, not supporting chasing the rally.
Sentiment: Sentiment has shifted from panic recovery to cautious observation. The risk of chasing longs is high; it is better to wait for a pullback to go long or to rebound and go short.
The current rebound is approaching the resonance resistance zone of the moving average and previous highs, making the pursuit of longs above less cost-effective. The main trading idea is to short around 2950 on rebounds, with attention to long opportunities on dips around 2900–2910$ETH