#预测市场 The CFTC's recent actions are worth paying attention to. Issuing non-enforcement letters to platforms like Polymarket, Gemini, and others essentially exempts certain record-keeping and data reporting requirements under specific conditions, which directly reduces the compliance costs for prediction market platforms.

From an on-chain perspective, this means operational pressures on these platforms are eased, potentially attracting more on-chain capital inflows in the future. As a mainstream prediction market, if compliance barriers are removed, Polymarket's trading volume and user growth could see a significant jump — this is a signal worth monitoring.

However, it should be noted that the CFTC emphasizes this only applies to "very limited circumstances" and does not constitute a full relaxation. The actual capital flow will depend on whether these platforms truly lower fees and optimize their products in subsequent steps. It is recommended to monitor on-chain trading data for Polymarket and PredictIt — if large amounts of capital continue to flow in, it indicates the market is indeed re-pricing the value of these platforms.

Such compliance signals are often early indicators of market sentiment shifts and are worth keeping on the watchlist.