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Recently, many people have been pondering the same question: Is the crazy surge in gold and silver about to top out? Meanwhile, BTC is still sideways; when will its window of opportunity arrive?
Looking back at history, this is quite interesting. After the sharp decline in March 2020, gold soared from $1,450 to $2,075, and silver skyrocketed from $12 to $29, with astonishing gains. But what about BTC at that time? It was just hovering between $9,000 and $12,000 for a full 5 months, exhausting many people's patience. When the precious metals finally peaked in August, capital immediately rotated, and BTC surged from $12,000 to $64,800, nearly a 5.5x increase. Those who endured the sideways period ended up making huge profits.
Does this current situation look familiar? Gold hit a new high of $4,550, silver also jumped to $80, but BTC is still wobbling around, and many are getting anxious again. But this time, it’s truly different. There are far more supporting factors than in 2020: expectations of Fed rate cuts, adjustments in bank liquidity policies, clearer regulatory frameworks, a more open government attitude toward cryptocurrencies, the upcoming launch of altcoin ETF products, and the complete opening of institutional investment channels… These positive signals stack up, essentially paving a staircase for crypto assets to rise.
It’s important to emphasize that the initial rise of precious metals is not a bad sign; history always plays out this way—capital searches for safe-haven value storage. When the gains in precious metals start to weaken, money will naturally look for the next exit. According to the pattern, crypto assets usually don’t lead the charge; they wait until the gold and silver rally slows down and capital begins to shift, then they will truly explode. The current sideways movement may just be building momentum, much like those five months in 2020—holding through it is the harvest period.