River (RIVER) 无视超买信号强势上涨 12%，背后有Arthur Hayes 旗下 Maelstrom Fund 力挺

As the new year begins, River (RIVER) tokens have demonstrated remarkable market performance. According to Gate market data, RIVER price reached $18.07, up approximately 12% in the past 24 hours.

Compared to the low point near $7 in early January 2026, RIVER has achieved a significant rebound, successfully breaking through and stabilizing above the key resistance zone of $9-$11.

Price Performance

In the past 24 hours, based on Gate market data, River (RIVER) is priced at $18.07, an increase of about 12% from yesterday, with a weekly gain exceeding 17%. Its market cap is approximately $354 million, calculated based on a circulating supply of 19.6 million tokens. Looking at a longer timeframe, RIVER’s performance is even more impressive. Since the recent low, its weekly increase has exceeded 200%, and its monthly increase has reached over 340%, making it one of the strongest short-term assets in the crypto market.

Market Dynamics

One of the core drivers supporting RIVER’s price increase is strategic investment from the Maelstrom Fund founded by Arthur Hayes. This investment was announced in early January 2026 and has provided strong institutional backing for RIVER. As a well-known crypto fund, Maelstrom Fund’s investment decision carries significant influence within the industry. This investment is seen as a high recognition of River Protocol’s “chain-abstracted stablecoin system.” Before the announcement, RIVER hit a historical high of $20, with active derivatives trading, and a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $1.5 billion.

Currently, the River Protocol has integrated with over 30 major ecosystem protocols, including Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Base, with total system lock-up value exceeding $300 million. Its stablecoin satUSD circulation has also surpassed $100 million.

Technical Indicator Analysis

From a technical perspective, RIVER’s strong rally is accompanied by obvious overbought signals. The daily chart shows the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 82.3, well above the overbought threshold of 70, indicating the market may be overheating in the short term.

However, moving averages remain in a bullish alignment, with the price well above the 20-day moving average (about $8.82) and the 50-day moving average (about $6.13), indicating the overall trend remains upward.

Derivatives market data provides further clues. As of January 8, the total open interest of RIVER perpetual contracts surged to approximately $141.88 million, an increase of 62.12% within 24 hours.

Market Outlook and Predictions

Based on current market data and industry developments, several analysis institutions have made predictions for RIVER’s future price. It is important to note that these predictions are based on specific models and assumptions and do not constitute investment advice.

RIVER Price Forecast Based on BLOX Model

Below is a neutral scenario price forecast based on BLOX simulation:

Key technical levels to watch. Currently, RIVER’s main support levels are in the $15.44-$15.52 range, with resistance around $17.00.

Multi-Timeframe Technical Indicators Overview

Industry Trends

Chain abstraction has become one of the core narratives in DeFi in 2026. The system built by River Protocol allows capital to flow freely between different ecosystems without locking, wrapping, or chain segmentation of assets, solving the long-standing liquidity fragmentation issue in multi-chain ecosystems. This technological innovation has attracted the attention of institutional investors, with Maelstrom Fund’s investment marking increasing institutional interest in DeFi infrastructure, especially solutions that lower the participation barriers for traditional financial institutions.

As more protocols and ecosystems adopt chain abstraction technology, River’s first-mover advantage may further consolidate its market position. Its total lock-up value has exceeded $300 million, and satUSD stablecoin circulation has surpassed $100 million, providing a solid foundation for ongoing development. Community enthusiasm for RIVER remains high, with traders on Gate sharing their real-time trading experiences. One user commented, “#RIVER We entered today and it rose 43.7%,” reflecting positive market sentiment.

Technical indicators are sending mixed signals. Although the daily RSI at 82.3 suggests short-term overheating, the ADX indicating a moderate trend strength shows upward momentum has not yet exhausted. Capital flow metrics are also diverging: the Chaikin Money Flow remains positive, indicating continued inflow of funds; however, 24-hour trading volume has decreased, suggesting some participants may be waiting after the sharp price increase. Over the past 24 hours, Gate platform data shows RIVER price remains stable above $18, with a market cap of about $354 million, firmly holding recent gains. The next major market test may occur as the price approaches the $20 historical high.