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• BTC drops
• Altcoins bloodbath
• Gold is likely also suppressed
• Weak dollar (rate cuts, liquidity easing)
• BTC moves first
• Altcoins follow
• Gold slowly follows
So don’t be fooled by the “Gold is independent of the financial system.”
It’s just a risk asset with slower volatility.
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2. What does gold look like in the eyes of crypto people?
A one-sentence summary:
Gold = BTC without volatility
Its problem isn’t “will it go to zero,”
but that it will wear you out.
The three things crypto people fear most:
1️⃣ No trend
2️⃣ No volatility
3️⃣ Huge time cost
These three points, gold fully embodies.
At least in the crypto world, you know:
• If it drops, it’s your judgment mistake
• If it rises, it’s real
• Risks are transparent
But gold isn’t.
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3. Ordinary people playing gold severely underestimate the risk
In the crypto world, we’ve long understood a principle:
Risk isn’t volatility, but not knowing what you’re betting on.
And ordinary players buying gold usually do this:
• Heard about “hedging”
• See news “central banks buy gold”
• Chase “security” during high interest rate cycles
• Use paper gold, futures, leverage
Translated into the crypto context, it’s like:
Buying a stagnant altcoin at a high price and telling yourself it’s value investing.
Once gold enters:
• Sideways for 3 years
• Decline for 2 years
You have no volatility to trade,
no narrative to tell,
and in the end, you sell when no one wants it.
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4. BTC vs Gold: Crypto people see more clearly
Why are more and more crypto people willing to hold BTC instead of touching gold?
Not because BTC is safer,
but because:
• BTC reacts faster to liquidity changes
• BTC’s rise and fall logic is more direct
• BTC doesn’t pretend to be “stable”
The biggest danger of gold is:
It makes you think you have no risk.
And the most basic consensus in crypto is:
Those who don’t admit risk are doomed.
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5. The truth from a crypto perspective
Gold is a hedge tool for the wealthy, not a moat for ordinary people.
It’s suitable for:
• Large asset portfolios
• Not seeking high returns
• Can endure ten years of no growth
But most ordinary players:
• Have small principal
• Face high opportunity costs
• Lack emotional endurance
👉 These three points, gold is not friendly to.
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6. A truth for crypto players
• Don’t buy gold just because you’re afraid of volatility
• Don’t think gold is safe just because it’s “stable”
• Don’t use crypto thinking for long-term declining assets
At least in the crypto world, there’s one truth:
High returns come with high risks
The most terrifying thing about gold is:
It masks time and opportunity costs with “safety.”
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Final sentence (as your signature):
The first lesson crypto has taught me isn’t getting rich overnight,
but understanding what you’re gambling on.