$BTC ‌Market Analysis 2026.03.26

Based on the signal: 60,000 is a local low at this stage. Next, after an oversold rebound, it has been running for 47 days. We are currently in the late stage of the rebound. After the rebound ends, there will be a new downtrend. The BTC with a “5” leading figure is not far from us.

In an ideal scenario, the decline that started around 76,000 can be treated as a pullback. After the pullback finishes, price should move upward again for a leg. Then, by late March to early April, the entire rebound that began from 60,000 will start to decline.

But you need to pay attention to one thing—before BTC starts each major market cycle, there are usually many false moves. These include, but are not limited to: deep pullbacks that make people feel there won’t be new highs, followed immediately by a sell-off; pushing up close to 76,000 without breaking the high and then dropping; or rallying to 78,000 or 79,000, making everyone think it won’t fall, and then suddenly crashing…

Which one will happen depends entirely on market liquidity conditions. The reason the chart here has become so messy is that liquidity is being accumulated.

There are many possibilities on smaller timeframes, but the bigger trend is clear. At this crucial point, all we need to remember is this: we are in the late stage of the rebound, and once the rebound ends, a new downtrend begins. Then we leverage the advantage of the Gann theory—focus on time. By the end of this month to early April, regardless of whether it breaks 76 or not, I will look for opportunities to go short. This short-trend setup is one of the few high-certainty trading opportunities in the first half of this year. #btc