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World Cup, BTC, Oscars: I realized that making money isn't about being right in predictions, but about "understanding people's minds"
After playing on Polymarket for a long time, I suddenly understood:
Predicting the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion,
Predicting Bitcoin prices,
Even guessing the Oscar Best Actor—
All fundamentally come down to one thing:
👉 Guessing "what others will think"
Not just guessing the outcome itself.
The most intuitive change in experience is:
I'm no longer obsessed with "who is the strongest," but instead look for:
👉 Who is underestimated
My approach is simple:
✔ Watch when information appears (who is earlier)
✔ Watch the speed of emotional shifts (who is faster)
✔ Watch the flow of funds (who is more genuine)
Many people lose because of one point:
👉 Trust too much in their own judgment
But the market's logic for making money is:
👉 Who understands "changes in consensus" earlier
Comment section prompts 👇
👉 If you had to bet on one: World Cup champion or BTC price, which would you choose? Why? #Gate正式接入Polymarket