US-China AI Competition: The Path Is More Important Than the Technology

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Artificial intelligence (AI) is leading a new wave of technological revolution and has become a key area in great power competition. China and the United States remain at the forefront of global AI development. The U.S. leads in cutting-edge technology and high-end markets due to its technological advantage, while China leverages its massive market size and complete manufacturing infrastructure to rapidly expand application scenarios. The competition between major powers in science and technology is not just a technical race but a comprehensive contest involving technological development, industrial application, and national strategy. To fully understand the AI competition between China and the U.S., it is not enough to look at current technological strength; a comparative analysis from the perspectives of development models and strategic choices is necessary. What is the current state of AI development in China and the U.S.? What are their advantages and shortcomings in core areas? How do their AI development models differ? How will this competition evolve in the future?

Strength: Comparison of core AI technologies, foundational infrastructure, and industrial applications in China and the U.S.

In terms of technology and talent, the U.S. generally leads, but the gap is narrowing. Regarding models, the U.S. maintains about a 7-month lead in the performance of cutting-edge AI large models, but Chinese large models continue to achieve performance breakthroughs under limited computing power, reducing the gap; in chip design, the U.S. monopolizes high-end chip design and R&D, while China has formed advantages in wafer manufacturing, testing, and packaging, with domestic chip market share steadily increasing; in computing infrastructure, the U.S. accounts for 75% of the world’s intelligent computing power, while China accounts for 15%, but China’s computing power is growing rapidly, with high efficiency and low costs; in talent, the U.S. attracts over half of the world’s top AI researchers, but China’s total number of researchers is close to the U.S., and talent return is accelerating.

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