The global asset balance is shifting from interest rates to inflation.

WealthCoffee · 2026-03-26T06:53:58+00:00

Oil price fluctuations affect assets through three channels: profit redistribution, inflation's impact on monetary policy, and global political changes. After the US-Iran conflict, rising oil prices may reshape global asset allocation, requiring attention to inflation and bond market changes, drawing lessons from the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

WealthCoffee

2026-03-26 06:53:58

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Oil prices impact assets mainly through three channels.

First, rising or falling oil prices mean profit redistribution across different industry sectors.

Second, oil prices influence monetary policy through inflation, affecting the valuation of liquid assets.

Third, prolonged significant changes in oil prices often indicate major shifts in the global political landscape. Changes in political power dynamics have a greater impact on assets than routine cyclical patterns.

This article focuses on a key question: if, after the US-Iran conflict, the oil price center shifts upward systematically and remains high for a period, does this imply a restructuring of the global asset allocation system?

When assessing inflation and bond impacts after the US-Iran situation, the market first compares it to the recent Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Inflation impacts in China, the US, Japan, and Europe differ under the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

The sharp fluctuations in crude oil supply are the core drivers behind inflation in the US, Japan, and Europe.

Recommended to access Caixin’s database for real-time macroeconomic data, stocks, bonds, corporate profiles, and financial information.

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