Negotiation expectations being suppressed led to a widespread decline in U.S. stock indices. The whale with a 40 million dollar position, positioning itself based on the expectation of a ceasefire, lost $630,000 in a single day.

According to Mars Finance news on March 27, monitoring by Hyperinsight shows that the “heavy position ceasefire expectation” whale (0xebe) currently holds the following two types of hedging positions, with a total scale of approximately $40 million. The combination may aim to bet on a decline in oil prices leading to a recovery in the stock market, anticipating the finalization of U.S.-Iran negotiations: S&P 500 long position: scale of $29.56 million, opened yesterday at an average price of $6,597, currently the largest long position on-chain for this asset; U.S. and Brent crude oil short positions: total scale of $10.2 million, with WTI crude oil averaging $91 and Brent crude oil averaging $99. However, today’s news has taken a turn, with a new proposal from the U.S. cooling down negotiation expectations, and Trump’s vague statements coupled with Iran’s strong responses continue to wear down market confidence in the ceasefire. Throughout the day, the three major U.S. stock indices collectively closed down, with the Nasdaq falling 2.38%, the S&P 500 down 1.74%, marking the largest decline since the war began; oil prices rose slightly in tandem. As a result, this whale’s positions faced dual pressure, with an intraday unrealized loss exceeding $630,000.