Oil prices break $103! Is this surge a "war dividend" or "market illusion"?

Every time oil prices rise, there's a story behind it. This time, the key word is only one: tension.
What the market fears most isn't bad news, but "uncertainty."
And oil prices happen to be one of the assets most sensitive to uncertainty.
When the price hits $103, it's no longer just about supply and demand, but a combination of sentiment and capital.
Simply put:
✔ Is there really a shortage of oil? Not necessarily.
✔ But the market thinks there will be a shortage → prices go up first, then see.
It's like the salt panic—
It's not that there's not enough salt, but everyone thinks there might not be enough.
From a trading perspective, this kind of market has two characteristics:
1️⃣ Rapid rise, but easy to reverse
2️⃣ Strong emotion-driven, fundamentals lagging behind
So the current question isn't "Will oil prices go up or not," but:
Who will take the final step?
In one sentence:
Oil prices reaching $103 have already entered the "fool's game" stage.
👉 Comment section interaction:
Do you think now is the opportunity to buy oil, or are you just catching a falling knife? #国际油价走高