A-shares Market Close: The three major indices all declined collectively. Motorcycle concept stocks showed unusual movement in the afternoon, and the "Zhang Xue Motorcycle" concept stock Hongchang Technology hit two consecutive 20CM limit-ups.

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On March 31, the three major indices all declined together. By the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.8% to 3891.86, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.81% to 13478.06, the ChiNext Index fell 2.7% to 3184.95, and the STAR 50 Index fell 2.59% to 1256.33. This month, the STAR 50, CSI 500, CSI 2000, and Beijing 50 indices have all cumulatively dropped by more than 10%. The combined trading value of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets totaled CNY 1,992.651 billion. In terms of sector themes, transportation-rail equipment, liquor, and bank sectors led by gains, while coal and agricultural chemical product sectors led by losses.

The innovative drugs theme gained renewed momentum again in the afternoon. Haichuang Pharmaceutical rose more than 11%. Earlier, Tianjin Pharma and Hainan Kailaiying hit the daily limit. Shuanglu Pharmaceutical, First Pharma Holdings, Asia-Pacific Pharma, Will Pharma, Wanbangde, and Chengda Pharmaceutical also followed higher. On the news front, an international team involving the Karolinska Institute in Sweden developed a new method that can directly generate chimeric antigen receptor T cells with targeted recognition and tumor-killing capabilities in the body, providing a new idea for cancer immunotherapy.

In the afternoon, the motorcycle concept saw unusual strength. Hongchang Technology hit a 20CM two consecutive daily limit boards. Huayang Racing and Hongquan Technology rose more than 10%, while Zhenghe Industrial, Jiuqi Co., Ltd., and Qianjiang Motorcycle surged upward. According to news, on March 28 Beijing time, at the World Superbike Championship (WSBK) event, Chinese motorcycle brand Zhang Xue Motorcycle won the championship with an overwhelming absolute advantage of nearly 4 seconds, breaking the decades-long monopoly by international powerhouses such as Ducati, Yamaha, and Kawasaki in this category in one fell swoop.

In the afternoon, the green power concept saw a partial rebound. Shenzhen Nan A hit the daily limit. Earlier, Mindong Electric Power and Xinzhonggang also hit the daily limit. Huadian Liaoning Energy, Huadian Energy, Guangxi Energy, and others surged higher. According to news, Haitong Securities stated that with the Strait of Hormuz blockade strengthening and an expectation that fossil energy prices will be more likely to rise than fall, green power sectors such as hydro, nuclear, wind, solar, and biomass are expected to benefit fully.

The fiber-optic concept rose and then stabilized during the day. TeFa Information hit the daily limit. Earlier, Hangdian Co., Ltd. touched the daily limit. Zhongtian Technology, YOFC (Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable), and Tongding Internet also followed higher. According to news from CITIC JianDing Securities research report, in February this year, China exported 3,779.9 tons of fiber optics worth CNY 790 million, up 63.6% and 126.8% year over year. If converted into kilometers, in February China exported about 25.2 million fiber-kilometers, accounting for roughly 65% of China’s effective monthly production of fiber optics.

Two-wheelers continued to strengthen steadily in the afternoon. Hongchang Technology achieved a two-consecutive limit board. Huayang Racing rose more than 15%. Zhenghe Industrial hit the daily limit. Cosunway, Jiuqi Co., Ltd., Xinnishi Co., Ltd., Movecom, and Qianjiang Motorcycle also followed higher.

【Institutional Viewpoints】

1、CITIC Securities: Key levels still have strong support; the consumer sector is expected to keep receiving market catalysts

From the overall market’s operating logic, China’s A-shares are currently in a period of consolidation and stabilization. Although the index level has not seen a major upward move, key levels still offer strong support. After multiple attempts to bottom out, the Shanghai Composite has rebounded quickly, reflecting confidence brought by domestic policy backstops and a rebound in economic fundamentals.

Market style is relatively balanced. Low-valuation blue-chip stocks and the consumer sector have become a safe haven for funds, while growth tracks are entering a short-term consolidation phase. Structural market characteristics continue to unfold, with funds more inclined to position themselves around earnings certainty and policy-driven positives.

Looking ahead, in the near term the market will still be affected by overseas developments and expectations of Federal Reserve policy. However, the domestic economic recovery trend remains unchanged. Policies such as consumer stimulus and industrial support will continue to strengthen, becoming the core support for A-shares to withstand external risks.

Overall, yesterday’s A-shares demonstrated strong downside resilience under multiple pressures. Structural opportunities remain active. In addition, with A-shares recently opening lower and then closing higher consecutively, signs have begun to emerge that the market is becoming less sensitive to overseas conflicts. This is beneficial for A-shares to run independently. Going forward, investors should continuously monitor the effectiveness of policy implementation, the flow of foreign capital, and volatility in overseas markets, seize the rotation rhythm among sectors, and invest rationally.

As the “trade-in for replacement” policy is gradually implemented and takes effect, the consumer sector is expected to keep receiving market catalysts. For resource-sector stocks, investors should pay attention to changes in the geopolitical situation. For technology and growth tracks, if earnings deliver after the adjustment, they still have room for repair. In terms of strategy, it is suggested that investors maintain a cautious optimism, focus on consumer blue chips with solid performance and high-dividend targets, avoid pure-Theme stocks with high valuations, and wait for the market’s direction to become clearer.

2、Everbright Securities: Middle East geopolitical conflict further reinforces the safe-haven logic; focus on relevant safe-haven sectors

Looking ahead, given that the A-share market continues to be hit by extreme volatility in overseas markets, the geopolitical trend remains unpredictable. Therefore, short-term market action is expected to maintain a pattern of “index consolidation with structural hot spots rotating quickly.”

The Middle East geopolitical conflict further reinforces the safe-haven logic, so investors should pay attention to the relevant safe-haven sectors. Among them, geopolitical factors have catalyzed oil prices to hover at elevated levels above $100, directly benefiting oil and gas exploration-related sectors. In addition, strikes by the U.S.-Iran side on important aluminum companies in the Middle East, among others, intensify supply concerns in areas such as industrial metals and chemical raw materials, which also strengthens the performance of the related sectors.

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