Threat escalation! Strait of Mandé, breaking news! Iran, major warning!

Just moments ago, Iran issued the latest warning!

According to Xinhua News Agency, on the local time of the 5th, Iran’s Supreme Leader’s foreign affairs adviser, Velayati, warned the United States that if it “makes another mistake,” the Iran-led resistance front will respond by blocking the Strait of Mandeb.

Meanwhile, against the backdrop of soaring oil prices, eight oil-producing countries decided to increase production. On the local time of the 5th, eight “OPEC+” member countries—including Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman—held a meeting and decided to raise their crude oil production by 206k barrels per day starting May 2026. The countries said they are concerned about attacks on energy facilities, noting in a statement that restoring production capacity is “costly and takes a long time,” thereby affecting the overall availability of supply.

As for the latest developments in Iran’s situation. At 4:33 a.m. on the 6th local time, Iran’s capital, Tehran, was attacked again, and reports said several explosions were heard. The same day, Iran said that within 20 minutes, Iran launched three rounds of missiles at Israeli territory. Israel said that in the three-round missile attack, Iran launched at least 10 missiles carrying cluster munitions.

Iran warns: It may block the Strait of Mandeb

On the 5th, Velayati, the Supreme Leader’s foreign affairs adviser, warned the United States that if it “makes another mistake,” the Iran-led resistance front will respond by blocking the Strait of Mandeb.

In a post on social media that day, Velayati said, “Today, the unified command of the resistance front views the Strait of Mandeb the same way as the Strait of Hormuz. If the White House makes another stupid mistake, it will quickly realize that with just one move, global energy and trade flows will be cut off.”

The Strait of Mandeb connects the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, a vital gateway that links the Atlantic Ocean, the Mediterranean Sea, and the Indian Ocean. The strait is within the control area of Yemen’s Houthi armed forces. Some media believe that Velayati’s post is a response to the threat that U.S. President Trump issued to Iran that day.

On the 5th, Trump posted again, once more urging Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz, and threatened that “April 7 will be Iran’s power-plant day and bridge day,” implying a forceful bombing of Iran’s power plants and bridges.

On the 5th, Iran’s Supreme Leader’s office published on social media excerpts from the Supreme Leader Mujtaba Khamenei’s first remarks, emphasizing that the Iranian people want to continue carrying out effective resistance that shames the other side, and reiterating that the Strait of Hormuz must continue to be blocked.

According to data on vessel passage through the Strait of Hormuz, in the past 24 hours, a total of 15 ships passed through the strait after obtaining permission from Iran.

Market analysts noted that the Strait of Mandeb and the Strait of Hormuz jointly form the two major “chokepoints” for Middle East oil exports. If a blockade of both straits overlaps, it could further drive the continued surge in crude oil prices. In that case, the global economy would have to face a series of severe pressures at the same time, including shipping paralysis, higher logistics costs, inflation spiraling out of control due to energy shortages, and manufacturers being forced to cut production because of disruptions to supplies of raw materials.

Eight oil-producing countries decide to increase production

Due to heightened tensions in the Middle East, international oil prices continue to rise. This morning, WTI crude oil once broke above $115 per barrel, with gains at one point exceeding 3%. Brent crude futures once rose more than 2.5%, and broke above $111 per barrel during the session. As of the time of writing, the gains for WTI crude and Brent crude have narrowed to 0.72% and 1.61%, respectively.

On the 5th local time, eight member countries of “OPEC+,” which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-OPEC oil producers, held a meeting and decided to raise crude oil production by 206k barrels per day starting May 2026, continuing the earlier plan to gradually phase out voluntary production cuts.

The countries attending included Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman. The meeting did not make any other adjustments to current production policy.

The countries also expressed concern about attacks on energy infrastructure, pointing out that restoring damaged energy assets to full-capacity production is both costly and time-consuming, thereby affecting overall supply availability. Therefore, they emphasized that any action that undermines energy supply security—whether by attacking infrastructure or disrupting international sea routes—will further intensify market volatility and weaken the collective efforts under the “Declaration of Cooperation” to support market stability for the benefit of producers, consumers, and the global economy. In this regard, the eight countries praised the participating countries in the “Declaration of Cooperation” for proactively taking measures to ensure continued supply, especially by using alternative export routes, which helps reduce market volatility.

Also, according to Xinhua News Agency citing Iran’s state television, on the 5th, Iran’s foreign minister Araghtchi spoke by phone with India’s foreign minister S. Jaishankar to discuss the recent situation in the Middle East.

Araghtchi said that the United States and Israel have committed serious crimes against the Iranian people, attacking Iran’s industrial and production infrastructure, as well as nuclear facilities for peaceful use that are protected. The United States has continued to openly threaten attacks on Iran’s energy infrastructure; the international community and the United Nations have a responsibility to stop this behavior and prevent the normalization of war crimes.

Araghtchi also said that the military aggression by the United States and Israel will bring increasingly serious consequences for stability and security in the region and even the world.

Jaishankar stressed the importance of restoring stability and security in the region, and said that India supports efforts made at both the regional and international levels to stop the war.

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