Tonight's negotiations between Trump and Iran will not immediately stabilize the Bitcoin market; instead, they may trigger intense short-term volatility. Only when an agreement is clearly reached and implemented, and geopolitical risks are fully alleviated, can the market gradually stabilize.

Why will there be greater volatility tonight (on the night of the negotiations)?
Uncertainty in news, sentiment-driven market
The negotiation process, outcomes, and wording are all real-time variables.
Positive expectations: If signals emerge that an agreement is close, Iran makes concessions, or the Strait of Hormuz opens, market risk appetite will increase, and Bitcoin may rapidly surge.
Panic and negative news: If reports indicate negotiations breaking down, Iran taking a hard stance, or Trump escalating threats, risk aversion will spike, and Bitcoin could plunge sharply.
Historically, every key turning point in US-Iran relations has caused Bitcoin to experience 3%–8% intraday volatility.
Leverage markets are fragile and prone to “long and short liquidations.”
Recent Middle East tensions have led to multiple forced liquidations.
Any unexpected news tonight could trigger a chain of liquidations, amplifying price swings.
The ultimatum is still in place, and risks have not been eliminated.
Trump’s latest deadline is April 7th (Tuesday) at 8 PM (Eastern Time).