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Analyst: The expectation that the Federal Reserve may ease monetary policy could return, easing geopolitical risks and benefiting gold.
ME News message on April 1 (UTC+8): Wednesday, gold prices rose slightly and touched a near two-week high, mainly supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. Marex analyst Edward Meir said that talk that the U.S. could end the war within two to three weeks even without the Strait of Hormuz being reopened boosted U.S. equities and lifted gold prices as well. However, if inflation expectations pick back up, interest rates could rise further, which would also limit how much gold prices can climb. The market has essentially priced in no chance of the Fed cutting rates this year, while before the outbreak of the war the market had expected two rate cuts this year. OCBC strategy analyst Christopher Wong said that if geopolitical tensions ease further, market expectations for the Fed to loosen monetary policy could return. In that scenario, real yields are expected to fall, providing support for gold prices. (Jin Ten) (Source: ODAILY)