✅ Before the ceasefire: Safe-haven buying pushes price up to $72,743 (monthly high)

✅ After the ceasefire: Good news priced in, safe-haven retreat → Volatility at high levels, slight pullback

🔥 BTC Today Strategy (Contracts/Short-term)

1. Conservative: Buy the dip on rebound (main idea)

- Entry: $72,200–$72,700 Light short position
- Stop-loss: Above $73,200
- Targets: $71,000 → $70,000 → $69,500

2. Aggressive: Buy the dip on pullback (quick in and out)

- Entry: $69,800–$70,200 Stabilize with light long position
- Stop-loss: Below $69,300
- Targets: $71,500 → $72,000

3. Breakout follow-up (trend-following)

- Hold above $73,200 → Go long, target $74,000+
- Break below $69,500 → Go short, target $68,500–$68,000

🔥 Risk Control Points

- Ceasefire good news priced in, easy to spike high and fall back, rollercoaster

- Strict stop-loss, no holding through losses, no chasing highs
- Tonight: US ISM Services PMI may still cause shocks