QCP: Bitcoin cautiously rebounds, volatility risk still persists

MarsBitNews · 2026-04-08T11:41:54+00:00

QCP said that after the U.S. reached a ceasefire agreement with Iran, Bitcoin rebounded to $71,000, but the deal is conditional, so the market still needs to stay cautious. The options market shows strong demand, and the risk of volatility remains. U.S. economic data is complicated, and the Federal Reserve must weigh economic growth against inflation. The Consumer Price Index will be the key test.

MarsBitNews

2026-04-08 11:41:54

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Mars Finance news: On April 8, QCP released a market outlook saying that, due to the impact of the United States and Iran reaching a two-week ceasefire agreement, Bitcoin rebounded to above $71k. However, the ceasefire is conditional and has not produced a lasting solution. The options market shows that this round of rally is more like an event-driven squeeze; the front-end BTC implied volatility has declined, but skew has deepened and demand for downside put options remains strong. The term structure stays in contango, indicating the market has not given up on hedging. QCP believes that the current market caution is reasonable. Recent attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure have highlighted that even if shipping resumes, the risk of disruption remains ongoing. The macro situation is still complex and intertwined. U.S. employment data has seen a rebound, but underlying labor indicators are weakening, forcing the Federal Reserve to weigh between soft economic growth and energy-driven inflation rising again. This week’s Consumer Price Index will be the next critical test.

BTC4.72%

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