Blooming everywhere and making a fortune in the market, but I’m not very happy. -4.8 Review

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Abstract generation in progress

The market is going up like crazy today— all three major indexes surged across the board, and over five thousand stocks across the market also jumped sharply. More than a hundred individual stocks hit the daily limit. The whole market is celebrating. The correct way to put it is that the global financial markets are surging and partying too. The root reason is that the U.S. and Iran have agreed to a ceasefire for two weeks and are set to negotiate, so global financial markets are getting a violent, frenzied rally.

As for today’s broad-market performance, the three major indexes rose with both volume and price increasing. This rise is valid, and we saw some out-of-market capital move in as well. But tomorrow, the broad-market index is very likely to trade in a narrow range and consolidate. That’s because a lot of funds in this market have an arbitrage mentality, and tomorrow there will be profit-taking sell pressure effects.

As for today’s tech frenzy, getting rich like crazy—some market commentary and the index moving in sync make it seem like the main theme is that. I don’t think that’s right. In fact, since this U.S.-Iran conflict started, every time we see easing signals, funds always go and push the tech sector. In my memory, today’s situation is just that again.

In truth, tech is having a full-blown climax today. There should be big daily differentiation—normally, the front-runners should continue, while the back-runners should rally up high and then give back.

[Taojubaa]

So, is this U.S.-Iran conflict really over right now? That’s really not certain. Even though a ceasefire has been announced, the U.S. aircraft carrier is still heading toward the Middle East. Especially that “unreliable” Trump, the one who flips faces like in a Sichuan opera—it can all turn around in an instant. So all of this has huge uncertainty.

Most importantly, will “unreliable” Trump’s followers really be able to accept Iran’s ten conditions? That’s the hardest part. Also, they haven’t gotten what “unreliable” Trump wanted—oil and mineral resources, and the Strait of Hormuz—either.

Why would “unreliable” Trump still accept a ceasefire? The reason is that he wants to end it in 41 days. That would be one day shorter than the past Gulf War, to prove he’s so “awesome.”

As for continuing to fight afterward, you could say negotiations have failed—the second round of battle. In principle, “unreliable” Trump’s ceasefire this time shouldn’t be so easy to flip. So global markets can be calm for those two weeks.

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Market snapshot today:
The three major indexes opened higher across the board, traded with volatility, and moved up for the entire day. The Shanghai Composite rose 2.70% to 3995.00. The Shenzhen Component rose 4.79% to 14042.50 points. The ChiNext Index rose 5.91% to 3347.91 points. Total turnover across both markets was 24506 hundred million yuan, which is an increase of 8271 hundred million yuan versus the previous trading day. In terms of themes today, relatively active sectors included computing power, communications, chip semiconductors, AI applications, and commercial aerospace, etc.

  1. Number of stocks hitting the daily limit: 135. Number of stocks hitting the daily floor: 12. Limit-up rate: 84%.
  2. Number of stocks rising: 5174. Number of stocks falling: 300.

Market summary: The whole market saw broad-based gains, and the money-making effect was obvious. I’m only following my plan for trading. Today I opened positions at 50% of my position size. But the 50% I traded yesterday was, due to circumstances, liquidated and exited today with no way around it. So my short-term trading account is still at 50% allocation. It’s not that I have no “sentiment”—it’s because market changes too fast. When the tight positioning breaks down, I can only follow the market outcome. Today the market was really hot, but I didn’t go in aggressively either—because the trend hadn’t opened positions yet. This news is all one jolt after another; it’s possible the opening news changes again tomorrow. So it’s better to wait until everything is completely confirmed—when the market is fully stable, it’s not too late to charge in hard.

My ideas and plan will be posted in the comments in the morning tomorrow.

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Top emotional leaders zone (4 stocks):

Xinzhonggang - Power + Energy Storage, 6 days with 5 limit-ups,

Closing Yuan Communication - Fiber optic concept, 4 consecutive limit-ups,

Zhong An Ke - Computing power + low-priced stocks, 3 consecutive limit-ups,

China International Engineering - Infrastructure construction, 3 limit-ups over 4 days,

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Upgrade to second-board zone (9 stocks):
(1) Jiuzhou Yizhuan - Semiconductors + STAR Market, 2 boards in 3 days,
(2) Tongding Interconnect - Fiber optic concept, 2 consecutive limit-ups,
(3) Far East Shares - Fiber optic concept, 2 boards in 3 days,
(4) Corex Technology - Optical modules, 2 consecutive limit-ups,
(5) Nanjing Pharmaceuticals - Innovative drugs + low-priced stocks, 2 consecutive limit-ups,
(6) Gaole Shares - Solid-state batteries + low-priced stocks, 2 consecutive limit-ups,
(7) Huan Yuan Holdings - Property management + low-priced stocks, 2 consecutive limit-ups,
(8) Pubang Shares - Landscaping + low-priced stocks, 2 consecutive limit-ups,
(9) Guangdong Media - Soccer concept, 2 consecutive limit-ups,

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Thanks to @lightwo and @蕉叶 brothers for the reward and support $1
Thanks to all the longtime friends for the likes and comments in support—thank you for supporting me all along.
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Statement: My viewpoints are only my personal thoughts and records and do not constitute any investment advice. Keep a good mindset—may the stock market bring long-lasting rainbow success.

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