Brother Yin predicts: Iran is highly likely to back down, cease uranium enrichment activities, and the Strait of Hormuz will not charge transit fees. The former is the bottom line for the U.S./Trump, and the latter is unacceptable to many countries worldwide. If Iran insists on hardline stance on these two points, conflict is inevitable, and the next strike could be devastating.


As long as Iran temporarily halts uranium enrichment activities (and resumes later), Trump can declare victory; otherwise, he cannot declare victory.
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