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The ceasefire between the United States and Iran led to a rise in Ethereum's price from $2,060 to $2,280 on April 8.
Consumer buy-in has been structurally increasing for four to five months.
Investor confidence in CME options has declined since October 2025.
The assets of spot ETF funds have nearly halved from their January peak to $11.98 billion.
The 14-day ceasefire continues with key issues remaining unresolved.
The biggest catalyst in months
Ethereum's price rose from $2,060 to $2,280 after the US and Iran announced their agreement on a two-week ceasefire, mediated by Pakistan, which also pushed Bitcoin above $71,000, ending 40 days of US-Israeli airstrikes that disrupted global shipping and caused oil prices to spike. Iran confirmed it would reopen the Strait of Hormuz throughout the truce period. This $220 increase occurred within hours of the announcement. By the time of writing, the price had retreated to $2,190.
The catalyst was real. And so was what preceded it.
Buyers Were Already Present
The supply and demand ratio among buyers across all trading platforms, according to CryptoQuant data, had been steadily rising for four to five months before the ceasefire announcement, with market orders structurally shifting toward buyers in a manner very similar to the situation before the April/May 2025 rally. This previous pattern ended with a significant increase. This pattern dates back well before the geopolitical event. The ceasefire did not create buying pressure; it reduced it.