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BTC / ETH Phased Action Checklist (Concise Execution Version)
1. Current Phase: Consolidation and Bottoming (Short-term 1–2 weeks)
BTC
- Watch Range: $65,000–$69,000
- Low-position Trial and Error:
Entry: $66,000–$67,000 Stabilization
Stop Loss: Below $64,000
Take Profit: $70,000 → $72,500
- High-position Trial and Error:
Entry: $72,500–$73,500 Facing Resistance
Stop Loss: Above $75,000
Take Profit: $70,000 → $68,000

ETH

- Watch Range: $2,030–$2,170
- Primarily Long Positions:
Entry: $2,050–$2,100
Stop Loss: Below $2,000
Take Profit: $2,200 → $2,280
- Rebound and Short-term Short:
Entry: $2,280–$2,320
Stop Loss: Above $2,380
Take Profit: $2,200 → $2,100

2. Mid-term Confirmation Phase: Choose Direction (Next 1 Month)

Bullish Signal Confirmed (Add Positions)

- BTC: Close 3 consecutive days above $72,000
- ETH: Close 3 consecutive days above $2,300
- Actions: - Add on pullbacks, avoid shorting easily
- Next Targets:
BTC → $80,000
ETH → $2,600

Bearish Signal Confirmed (Switch to Defensive)

- BTC: Effectively break below $64,000
- ETH: Effectively break below $2,000
- Actions: - Close long positions and exit
- Light positions with short-term shorts
- Next Supports:
BTC → $60,000
ETH → $1,800

3. Mid- to Long-term Trend Phase (1–3 months)

Uptrend Pattern

- BTC stabilizes above $75,000
- ETH stabilizes above $2,600
- Strategy: - Mainly hold long positions + add on pullbacks
- Reduce frequent short-term trading
- Stage Targets:
BTC → $90,000–$100,000
ETH → $3,200–$3,500

Downtrend Pattern

- BTC falls below $60,000
- ETH falls below $1,800
- Strategy: - Hold cash or very low positions and observe
- Only short-term rebounds and shorts, avoid bottom fishing
- Wait for stabilization signals before re-entering