Two weeks of ceasefire = two weeks of a bull market? Don’t be naive; this could be the market’s biggest “fake move”!

On April 8th, Donald Trump’s statement of a “two-week ceasefire” immediately gave global markets a collective sigh of relief. But note, this kind of “time-limited peace” is more like a market buffer rather than a trend reversal signal.
First, answer the core question: Will the war end completely? Not in the short term. Middle Eastern conflicts have never been “stop-and-go,” more like an “ongoing series that can resume at any time.” And the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz? Likely a phased recovery, but full stability is still early.
How will the market move? WTI crude oil plummeted 11.91%, indicating that the previous “war premium” was quickly squeezed out. But note, this is not a bear market, just a sentiment correction.
Allocation ideas:
* Crude Oil: Short-term sideways oscillation, don’t chase the short position
* Bitcoin: Strong breakout above 71k, sentiment bull is starting
* Gold and Silver: The safe-haven logic hasn’t disappeared, continue to stay relatively strong
One sentence summary: This is not “all in” now, but “defend with the left hand, probe with the right hand.”
#Gate广场四月发帖挑战