u姐7.22 BTC early-morning strategy



The market is in the 4-hour Bollinger Band upper rail overbought zone, and the 67,254 historical high above forms strong suppression. Current longs continue to push higher, but KDJ is at high levels; upside momentum gradually weakens. Expect a build-up to test highs under pressure and then pull back. Go short against the trend only, entering just in the pressure zone; don’t chase shorts at the current price.

Entry range
67,000 — 67,250
Trigger condition: If price pushes up into this range and the hourly chart shows stagnation, long upper wicks, and weakening upward volume, then build shorts in batches.
If the highest only touches 66,700~66,900 and then turns down, you may try a small position short.

Stop loss: 67,700
Logic: If price effectively breaks the previous high, the short thesis is immediately invalid—close positions unconditionally, with no adding to the position to hold the short.

Take-profit targets
First target: 66,100 (the strong/weak line on the Bollinger Band upper rail; when reached, reduce at least half the position first, and keep the remaining position at break-even with a stop-loss)
Second target: 65,400 (the 4-hour Bollinger Band middle rail; this round’s main pullback target)
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