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Fed's probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in July currently stands at 34.7%
BlockBeats news, July 9, according to CME's FedWatch data, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is now 65.3%, and the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike is 34.7%.
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Sources: If the US launches an attack, Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz.
BlockBeats news, July 9 - According to CCTV News, a source from Iran's security department said that if the US launches any attack on Iran, Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz and retaliate against enemy targets with at least twice the scale of the strike it receives.

US President Trump said on July 8 during the NATO summit in Turkey that he is very unhappy with Iran, and that the US military might "strike Iran hard again tonight," and may also reimpose a naval blockade on Iran.
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Ondo Perps' trading volume has exceeded $2 billion within 48 hours of its launch.
BlockBeats news, July 9, according to official sources, Ondo announced that the cumulative trading volume of Ondo Perps public beta has exceeded $2 billion within 48 hours of its launch.
ONDO-4.84%
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Michael Saylor: Concerns about insufficient Bitcoin block space are gradually fading, global transfers still maintain low transaction fees.
BlockBeats news, July 9, Strategy founder Michael Saylor posted that after a decade of concerns over insufficient block space and controversies surrounding non-monetary uses, Bitcoin still does not have a so-called 'junk transaction problem'. Currently, the Bitcoin network fee is about 1 sat/vB, and anyone can quickly transfer any amount of Bitcoin globally at a cost of about $0.3. The market freedom mechanism has been addressing the challenges faced by Bitcoin block space.
BTC-2.42%
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BNP Paribas: Tesla and SpaceX merger is far off
BlockBeats reported that BNP Paribas analysts are skeptical of a potential merger between Tesla and SpaceX, citing significant cash burn at both companies and regulatory risks complicating the deal. Although merger rumors have boosted investor sentiment, analysts maintain an "underperform" rating and a $280 price target, concerned that Tesla's performance on robotaxi and Optimus KPIs over the next two years will weigh on its core business until a merger materializes.
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Trump: Will see if can continue to lower oil prices, should keep oil prices low.
BlockBeats news, July 9, US President Trump said, we will see if we can continue to lower oil prices. We should keep oil prices low.
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SemiAnalysis: AI is changing U.S. employment expectations, and the Fed may still maintain a wait-and-see stance
SemiAnalysis says U.S. consumer confidence continues to weaken, but the labor market has not significantly deteriorated; the voluntary quit rate is low, and concerns about future employment are rising. Job vacancies in the information services sector have dropped notably. The AI impact has not yet triggered mass unemployment, but it may suppress wages and consumption, shifting growth from consumption to investment. It is estimated that about 110k jobs will be added this month, the unemployment rate may fall, and the Federal Reserve will remain on hold.
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A whale has consolidated approximately $5.85 million worth of HYPE and LIT assets into the same wallet.
BlockBeats News, July 8, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale transferred approximately $5.85 million worth of HYPE and LIT assets concentrated into the same wallet, and the funds may have been accumulated through Galaxy Digital.
The transferred assets include 78,100 HYPE (worth approximately $5.25 million) and 263,700 LIT (worth approximately $601k).
HYPE-4.28%
LIT-4.23%
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飞鱼2026祝福版:
Michael Saylor speaks out! More good news for BTC

Folks, just saw Saylor's message — the previously worried issues of insufficient BTC blocks and high transaction fees have been resolved. Now transferring BTC only costs $0.3 in fees, global transfers are seamless, and the network is rock solid.

The current market dip is purely short-term geopolitical and sentiment-driven. BTC's fundamentals are perfectly fine. Hold your long positions, set your stop-losses. Dips are opportunities — just stay steady. #BTC $BTC
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Senior Iranian official: We have unused options, including blocking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
Iranian Parliament National Security Committee Spokesperson Rezaei stated that in future confrontations, the enemy will face comprehensive and sudden strikes; Iran possesses options not utilized during the 40-day war, such as withdrawing from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), revising its nuclear strategic doctrine, and blocking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait in addition to the Strait of Hormuz. The proposal to withdraw from the NPT is already pending in parliament, and if survival is threatened, it can also be put on the agenda.
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Prediction market platform World announces it will migrate from Solana to Robinhood chain.
BlockBeats News, July 8 – According to official sources, prediction market platform World has announced it will migrate from Solana to the Robinhood chain.


As previously reported, World officially launched on July 1.
SOL-5.06%
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European Central Bank rate hike expectations heat up again
BlockBeats news, July 8, market pricing shows that the European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates twice by the end of the year, each time by 25 basis points.
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Trump family's crypto company AI Financial plans to sell its core business for up to $15 million.
According to The Wall Street Journal, a crypto project under the Trump family that acquired a payment company for $750 million a year ago is now suffering near-total losses across almost its entire portfolio, except for one company that is profitable. The firm has since been renamed AI Financial (AIFC) and is negotiating with Perpetuals to sell its core business, with a potential deal value of up to about $15 million. The terms have not yet been finalized, and there are many variables—so the deal could even fail.
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EU plans to expand MiCA regulatory scope to cover tokenisation and non-EU stablecoin issuers
BlockBeats reports that the EU is considering revising MiCA, with plans to expand the regulatory scope to cover new areas such as tokenized assets and non-EU stablecoin issuers. The Commission is seeking public input, with a deadline of September 30. MiCA is intended to unify rules for crypto assets across the EU; it took effect in December 2024, and the transition period has been extended to July 1 this year.
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All three major U.S. stock indices fell over 1% intraday.
BlockBeats news, July 8, according to BIT (bit.com) market data, all three major U.S. stock indexes fell more than 1% intraday.
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US stock storage sector turned fully lower, Micron Technology fell over 2.5%
BlockBeats News, July 8, according to BIT (bit.com) market data, the US stock storage sector has fully turned into decline, among which: Seagate Technology (STX) fell 0.85%; Western Digital (WDC) fell 0.05%; SanDisk (SNDK) fell 1.08%; Micron Technology (MU) fell 2.55%.
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Nasdaq 100 index's decline expands to 1%
BlockBeats news, July 8, according to BIT (bit.com) market data, the Nasdaq 100 index decline expanded to 1%, setting a new intraday low.
NAS1000.12%
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A whale opened a long position on SK Hynix, becoming the largest long on-chain, with an average price of $1,410.8.
BlockBeats message. July 8, according to Yujin monitoring, after today’s U.S. stock market opened, a whale began opening a large number of long positions on SK Hynix.

It has now become the largest SKHX long on Hyperliquid and is still adding to its position. Currently, it holds an SKHX position worth $27.75 million, with an average long entry price of $1,410.8.
SKHYNIX1.74%
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Israeli officials: We are already on the highest alert
BlockBeats News, July 8 - According to Israel's Yedioth Ahronoth, an Israeli official said that Israel has raised its alert level to the highest to prevent a renewed outbreak of war with Iran.
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Sources: Iran has formally suspended US-Iran negotiations.
BlockBeats news, July 8, according to the latest report from TASS, a senior Iranian source stated that due to threats from the US side, Iran has officially suspended negotiations with the US on a final solution.
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