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Polymarket launches Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility prediction markets
BlockBeats News, January 27 — A new prediction market linked to the 30-day implied volatility indices of Bitcoin and Ethereum has been launched on Polymarket, allowing users to forecast the volatility levels in 2026. The two markets are titled “What will be the Bitcoin Volatility Index in 2026?” and “What will be the Ethereum Volatility Index in 2026?” The markets will settle on December 31, 2026.
Early trading data shows that there is approximately a 35% chance that the Bitcoin 30-day implied volatility index will double from the current 40% to 80%, and a similar probability exists for the Ethereum volatility index to rise from 50% to 90%.