Odaily Planet Daily reports that Polymarket data shows the market’s probability of Trump not announcing the next Federal Reserve Chair before December 31, 2025, has risen to 91%. Among the potential candidates announced this year, Kevin Hassett’s chances of winning have decreased to 4%, while Chris Waller and Kevin Warsh have probabilities of 3% and 2%, respectively. Although the market previously had high expectations for Trump to lock in the Federal Reserve leadership early, current betting trends indicate that the appointment process may be delayed compared to expectations.
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The probability that Trump will not announce a Federal Reserve Chair candidate within the year on Polymarket has risen to 91%
Odaily Planet Daily reports that Polymarket data shows the market’s probability of Trump not announcing the next Federal Reserve Chair before December 31, 2025, has risen to 91%. Among the potential candidates announced this year, Kevin Hassett’s chances of winning have decreased to 4%, while Chris Waller and Kevin Warsh have probabilities of 3% and 2%, respectively. Although the market previously had high expectations for Trump to lock in the Federal Reserve leadership early, current betting trends indicate that the appointment process may be delayed compared to expectations.