#比特币市场走势分析 Looking back, Bitcoin's market trends always evoke a lot of emotions. Over the years, I've witnessed its journey from obscurity to global attention. Recently, the predictions on Polymarket have caught my eye. In just two days, the probability of Bitcoin dropping below $80,000 in November plummeted from 32% to 13%, and the probability of it falling below $75,000 also dropped from 12% to 4%.

This dramatic shift reminds me of the bull market in 2017. At that time, market sentiment also changed rapidly, and expectations were just as volatile. However, compared to those days, today's market is clearly more mature and rational. Investors are no longer blindly chasing gains or panic selling; instead, they are focusing more on fundamentals and long-term value.

This change in prediction probabilities may reflect growing market confidence in Bitcoin's future performance. But we can't afford to be complacent. History tells us that the cryptocurrency market is always full of uncertainty. Past successes are worth learning from, but the lessons from failures are equally important.

As someone who has experienced multiple cycles, my advice is: stay vigilant, manage your risks well, and at the same time, maintain confidence in the long-term development of this industry. After all, every rise and fall of Bitcoin is shaping the future of this emerging market.