Looking back at the changes in Bitcoin’s price over recent years really makes me feel emotional. The latest predictions are all over the place, which reminds me of those ups and downs in the past.
On Polymarket, the probability prediction for Bitcoin dropping below $80,000 in November has fallen to 13%. This takes me back to the crazy bull market at the end of 2017. Back then, everyone thought Bitcoin would keep soaring, but soon after, the crypto winter arrived. Looking at it now, market sentiment is still just as volatile.
PlanB still insists that Bitcoin will reach $500,000 by 2028. This co

#Monad项目上线 Looking back, I have witnessed countless projects rise and fall. Now, seeing Bitcoin’s rebound so weak, I can’t help but think of those flash-in-the-pan projects from the past. Market cycles always repeat themselves, but there are new variables each time. According to Banmuxia’s analysis, the market is unlikely to show much improvement in the short term. However, in the long run, the $85,000 entry point is still worth watching.
This reminds me of the crazy bull market at the end of 2017 when many people thought Bitcoin would keep soaring. What followed, however, was a bear market t

#美国经济指标 Looking back at history, I have witnessed too many shifts in Federal Reserve policy. This situation reminds me of the period after the 2008 financial crisis. At that time, the job market was also fragile, and there was little inflationary pressure.
Now, both Daly and Waller support a rate cut in December, which is undoubtedly an important signal. They are concerned that the job market could suddenly deteriorate, and this concern is justified. History tells us that once the job market starts to decline, it often worsens rapidly.
However, we also need to be cautious about being overly o

#加密货币ETF发展 Looking back, the development of cryptocurrency ETFs has truly been a rollercoaster. In 2013, the first Bitcoin ETF application was submitted, but it was rejected by the SEC in 2017. At that time, regulators were still quite cautious about crypto assets.
Now, the US is witnessing a surge in altcoin spot ETFs coming to market, which is truly remarkable. Major institutions such as Grayscale and Franklin Templeton are launching ETFs for cryptocurrencies like XRP and Dogecoin, and even a LINK spot ETF is about to debut. Even more notably, over 100 crypto ETFs may be listed in the next

#加密货币ETF发展 Looking back, I can’t help but marvel at the ever-changing landscape of the cryptocurrency market. Back then, Bitcoin ETF applications faced repeated setbacks, but now DOGE and XRP spot ETFs are being approved and listed one after another—it truly shows how times have changed. Grayscale’s GDOG began trading today, with a management fee of 35 basis points. The first $1 billion or the first three months of inflows are free—such generous offers are rare in the ETF world. Bitwise’s BWOW will follow closely behind, and the competition is already taking shape.
This wave of ETFs reminds m

#加密货币ETF发展 Looking back at the development of cryptocurrency over the years, it has truly been a sea change. When Bitcoin first emerged, who could have imagined that we would have financial products like ETFs today? I saw the latest news that multiple institutions have reduced their holdings in Strategy, with the scale of reduction reaching as much as $5.4 billion. This can’t help but remind me of the ups and downs of the past.
This time, institutional reduction isn’t due to forced liquidations caused by a market downturn, but rather a proactive decision to lower allocations. Bitcoin’s price

#比特币市场走势分析 Looking back, Bitcoin's market trends always evoke a lot of emotions. Over the years, I've witnessed its journey from obscurity to global attention. Recently, the predictions on Polymarket have caught my eye. In just two days, the probability of Bitcoin dropping below $80,000 in November plummeted from 32% to 13%, and the probability of it falling below $75,000 also dropped from 12% to 4%.
This dramatic shift reminds me of the bull market in 2017. At that time, market sentiment also changed rapidly, and expectations were just as volatile. However, compared to those days, today's ma

#比特币价格趋势 Looking back at historical market performance, this type of volatility indeed reminds one of several major turning points in the past. When the bull market peaked at the end of 2017, there was also a similar phenomenon of "strike price stickiness." At that time, traders were extremely sensitive to certain key price levels, and market sentiment was high but filled with uncertainty. In retrospect, this may have signaled an impending period of intense fluctuation.
However, each cycle has its unique characteristics. The current market environment is very different from back then, with hi

#加密货币现货ETF发展 Looking back at the development of cryptocurrencies after the 2008 financial crisis, I can't help but feel a surge of emotions. From the birth of Bitcoin to the current preparations for the BNB ETF listing, the journey has truly been challenging. VanEck is now planning to launch the BNB ETF, with the ticker VBNB, aiming to directly hold BNB tokens and track their price performance. This reminds me of the difficult path Bitcoin ETFs once faced.
I remember in 2013, the Winklevoss brothers first submitted an application for a Bitcoin ETF, only to experience a long wait and multiple

#美国经济与货币政策展望 Seeing this news, I can't help but recall the decades of witnessing the Federal Reserve's decision-making process. Although there have always been disagreements, a situation as evenly matched as this is truly rare. If a 6:6 tie really occurs, it would be the first time in the history of the Fed. This reminds me of the early days of Chairman Paul Volcker's tenure in 1979, when inflation was soaring and there were huge disagreements within the Fed about how to respond. In the end, Volcker implemented aggressive tightening policies, which triggered a severe recession but ultimately

#美联储政策预期 Looking back at history, it’s not hard to see that the market always fluctuates in cycles. The current wave of AI hype inevitably reminds people of the rise and fall of past tech bubbles. Although the likelihood of the AI bubble bursting in the short term is low, overreliance on a single narrative is always risky.
From the stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll data in September to the Federal Reserve’s hawkish remarks, market sentiment has once again become tense. This brings to mind the eve of the dotcom bubble burst in 2000, when similar macro factors triggered profit-taking. Howe

#加密货币ETF发展 Looking back at the development of cryptocurrency ETFs, it’s hard not to feel a surge of emotion. From the initial concept to today’s large-scale adoption, the journey has truly been challenging. BlackRock’s move to deposit a large amount of BTC and ETH into Coinbase Prime is undoubtedly another milestone in this process.
This reminds me of 2013, when the Winklevoss brothers first submitted their Bitcoin ETF application. At the time, the industry was largely skeptical, believing that regulators would never approve it. In fact, their application was rejected multiple times. However,

#比特币价格分析 Looking back, the journey Bitcoin has taken has truly been full of ups and downs. From its obscure beginnings to now reaching a market cap of $1.7 trillion and ranking among the top ten global assets, the path hasn’t been easy. I remember the first time I heard about Bitcoin, I thought it was just a novelty—who could have imagined the achievements it has today?
This latest market cap milestone reminds me of the wild bull run in 2017. Back then, Bitcoin’s price soared, and many thought that was the end of the story. Unfortunately, the good times didn’t last, and a long bear market fol

#加密货币ETF发展 Looking back at the development of cryptocurrency ETFs, I can't help but feel deeply moved. From the long wait for spot ETFs after Bitcoin futures ETFs, to the recent surge of XRP spot ETF launches, every step has witnessed the growth of this industry.
I still remember the disappointment when Bitcoin ETF applications were repeatedly rejected, and now, seeing XRP ETFs springing up like mushrooms after the rain, it's amazing how much the regulatory stance has shifted. Established financial institutions like Grayscale and Franklin Templeton are entering the market one after another, u

#美联储降息预期 Looking back at history, every time the Federal Reserve was expected to cut rates, it triggered significant market volatility. Now, HSBC's viewpoint has once again brought back memories of the past. They believe now is a good time to increase exposure to risk assets, which inevitably reminds me of the days following the 2008 financial crisis.
At that time, the market was also in a slump, and investor sentiment was battered. But as the Fed adopted quantitative easing policies, the market gradually recovered. The current situation bears some resemblance to those days: the S&P 500 index

#美联储货币政策走向 Looking back at history, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction has always affected global markets. This upcoming Thanksgiving holiday is very likely to trigger a sharp drop in market liquidity. From past experience, this kind of short-term liquidity shortage often brings some unexpected market volatility.
I remember the Thanksgiving after the 2008 financial crisis, when the market also experienced a similar liquidity crunch. At that time, the Federal Reserve had just begun implementing quantitative easing, and the market was full of uncertainty. Now, more than a decade la

#比特币价格走势 Looking back, it’s truly an emotional rollercoaster. The Trump family’s recent moves in Bitcoin are practically a replay of history. Back at the peak of the 2017 bull market, plenty of big names called the top, leaving a wave of retail investors trapped at high prices. Now it seems that whether you’re part of a presidential family or an ordinary investor, no one can escape the curse of market cycles.
Eric Trump’s recent call looks confident on the surface, but if you dig deeper, it seems more like an act of self-preservation. A cost basis of $115,000 is definitely not low, and now ca

#加密货币市场整体趋势 Looking back at the history of the cryptocurrency market, it's not hard to see that such volatile adjustments are not uncommon. Bitcoin is currently finding support around $80,000, but the rebound remains weak and it may continue to fluctuate weakly in the short term. This reminds me of the bear market bottom in 2018, when a prolonged sideways movement was followed by a reversal. Ethereum is also in an upward channel, with $2,800-$2,780 as key support levels. For new projects like SSS and BANANAS31, I advise caution. SSS has an initial circulating market cap of only $4.5 million,

#美联储货币政策分析 Looking back at Bitcoin's historical cycles, we are once again standing at a crucial crossroads. The recent market volatility inevitably brings to mind the bull market peak of 2017 and the long adjustment that followed. But this time, things seem a bit different. The Federal Reserve’s softened stance and a 75% expectation for a rate cut in December are rare in history.
After a 30% pullback, Bitcoin has shown preliminary signs of stabilizing. The data from the derivatives market is particularly noteworthy—the year-end open interest for call options remains higher than for put option

Looking back at these years in the crypto market, it’s really been a rollercoaster. Watching Monad go from fundraising in May 2022 to launching its mainnet now, it’s been a full three and a half years, spanning an entire market cycle. From the Luna crash to the bull market peak and now the current slump, Monad has had quite a journey.
It secured over $400 million in funding from top-tier institutions, setting a record at the time. But now, the market's attitude toward high-valuation projects has changed—people are paying more attention to actual adoption and usage. Can Monad become the last fl