Because OI shows positioning, not direction. Open Interest tells you how many contracts are open - price tells you who’s right. Here’s how to read it properly: Price ↑ + OI ↑ → New positions entering (trend can continue, but crowding risk rises) Price ↑ + OI ↓ → Shorts closing (short squeeze, often less sustainable) Price ↓ + OI ↑ → New shorts entering (bearish pressure building) Price ↓ + OI ↓ → Longs getting liquidated (late-stage flush) The mistake most traders make: seeing rising OI and assuming strength. Rising OI just means more exposure. The edge comes from asking who is trapped when price moves next.
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Why you might be misreading Open Interest?
Because OI shows positioning, not direction.
Open Interest tells you how many contracts are open -
price tells you who’s right.
Here’s how to read it properly:
Price ↑ + OI ↑
→ New positions entering (trend can continue, but crowding risk rises)
Price ↑ + OI ↓
→ Shorts closing (short squeeze, often less sustainable)
Price ↓ + OI ↑
→ New shorts entering (bearish pressure building)
Price ↓ + OI ↓
→ Longs getting liquidated (late-stage flush)
The mistake most traders make:
seeing rising OI and assuming strength.
Rising OI just means more exposure.
The edge comes from asking who is trapped when price moves next.