#BTC资金流动性 📉 Has the bull run actually arrived, or are we blinded by the "Rebound"?
Recently, major trading platforms have been buzzing with a saying:
"The market has started, it's time to recover losses."
BTC is on the rise, ETH is starting to show up, and those long-tail coins are also starting to stir.
Many people therefore conclude that —
👉 This time it really is different.
But I want to look at this matter from another perspective.
📌 Have you noticed a phenomenon:
When you start to "believe", the big players in the market often have already begun to reduce their positions.
Let's

The Bank of Japan finally turned around, raising interest rates by 0.75%.
The last major country in the world clinging to low interest rates has truly stood up this time.
And what about the 9 trillion yen carry trade position? To be honest, this number is somewhat inflated. According to China Merchants Bank's statistics, it might include Japanese external debt, long-term deposits, and even loose change in convenience stores. The real pressure to close positions isn't as outrageous as it seems.
But the problem is— the yen is no longer cheap. Borrowing in yen before was like drinking free

#数字资产市场洞察 The Federal Reserve CPI data and the Bank of Japan decision are about to hit simultaneously, and tonight's market could be completely reshaped by these two events.
The market is in an extremely fragile state. At 21:30 Beijing time, the US CPI will be released, which is one of the most critical risk points in recent times. Analysts expect the CPI year-over-year increase to be around 3%, but even slight deviations can trigger intense volatility—below expectations could boost rate cut expectations, with Bitcoin historically rising up to 7% within an hour; above expectations could reig

#加密生态动态追踪 How far can Bitcoin's short-term rebound go?
Looking at the recent market trend, Bitcoin has shown a rebound on the hourly chart. The MA5 and MA10 have formed a golden cross, the MACD has turned positive, and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands has stabilized. However, these signals share a common issue—the trading volume cannot keep up. The rebound seems vigorous, but in reality, it lacks genuine market participation.
From a technical perspective, the key resistance levels have been tested repeatedly but have not been effectively broken through. This situation of being unable to

The independence of the Federal Reserve is tougher than you think
White House Chief Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett recently issued a strong warning—if the president’s opinions are not backed by data, then they are just "decorations" in rate decision-making.
In an interview with CBS, Hassett was straightforward: the collective consensus of the FOMC is the key, and interest rate adjustments should be based on data and logic, not on who has more power.
"We can talk until the end of time, but when it comes to voting, data decides everything." His intention is very clear— even if the president has

Bank of Japan Rate Hike Countdown: Crypto Market Storm on the Eve
Core assessment$ETH ,$SOL ,$BNB
The market has partially priced in it, but leverage positions remain high-risk; blind bottom-fishing is not recommended before the December 19 meeting.
According to authoritative reports from Securities Times, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has signaled clearly: the December 19 meeting will assess the pros and cons of a rate hike. Market pricing shows the probability of a rate increase has soared above 80%, but key disagreements include:
Base scenario: a 25 basis point hike to 0.75% (highest level

#数字资产生态回暖 $SOL Do you remember those days in 2016? My account lost 890,000 directly, and I really felt like the sky was collapsing. I smashed my phone, deleted the software, and locked myself at home for two months. When I saw the account drop to zero, I felt completely hopeless about the crypto world.
But, in the darkest moments, there was always a stubborn fire burning in my heart—I kept asking myself, why should I give up so easily? $ETH
At the beginning of 2017, my account only had 2,300 U. I made a deal with myself: either admit defeat completely or fight for a different life!
And then, a

In the cryptocurrency market, the harshest lesson is ignoring the importance of stop-losses. I have seen too many traders, so close to success, ultimately fail because of one simple thought: "Just wait a little longer, it’s already dropped so much, the rebound must be just around the corner."
When the price drops by two or three percentage points, they always comfort themselves: give the market some time. After it drops another five percentage points, they convince themselves again: the downtrend should be almost over. However, the result is often watching their accounts gradually go from prof

#美联储降息预测 A rate cut itself is no longer that important.
The Federal Reserve will announce its last interest rate decision of the year.
It's almost a given now: a 25 basis point cut.
Before the positive expectations are realized, they are considered positive; once implemented, they are no longer viewed the same. This is the play of smart money.
01 Highly Consistent Expectations
According to data from ONE, the probability of a rate cut has already reached 87%-89.5%.
Once implemented, the interest rate will fall into the 3.5%-3.75% range.
Investors still believing that a rate cut equals positive

A bull market is not the time when retail investors make money fastest, but the time they go to zero the fastest.
The reason boils down to one sentence:
Money earned by luck will eventually be lost by skill.
A bull market amplifies luck into "talent," packages short-term victories as "ability," and in the end, you use bigger positions, higher leverage, and worse coins to give back all your previous gains.
Whether the bull market is still here or not, I hope everyone can stay clear-headed at all times.
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Pitfall 1: Frequent switching.
You sell at a loss to chase whatever others are pumping, on

On December 7, 2025, the crypto market experienced severe turbulence. Bitcoin’s price briefly fell below $89,000 during trading, major asset trading volumes were "halved," and approximately 100,000 traders were liquidated across the network, with total liquidations amounting to about $111 million. The core driver of this volatility was the market’s heightened anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting set for December 9-10, with the probability of a December rate cut rising to around 87%.
Today's Trend: Tug-of-War in Volatility
Today (December 8), the market continued its recovery, b

#美SEC促进加密资产创新监管框架 The SEC Chairman’s latest remarks have set the market on fire—“In the coming years, the financial system will fully shift towards Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies; this is the direction of global development.”
This isn’t just anyone making an offhand comment. Within the US financial regulatory system, the SEC is the ultimate authority. Over the past few years, it has continuously scrutinized and litigated against crypto assets, and now, the top official suddenly declares “this is the future”? In a sense, this is equivalent to granting the entire industry an entry permit. $BTC
Th

#比特币对比代币化黄金 $ETH Feeling good today, so I want to share a few survival rules I’ve learned from years of hustling in the crypto market. Nothing too theoretical—just real lessons learned from actual mistakes.
$BTC I started with a principal of 30,000 and grew it to over 50 million in seven years, averaging a steady 70%+ monthly return. Honestly, this result isn’t luck—it’s about making risk control second nature. Here are a few points you might find useful:
First, position management. I split my funds into five parts, and never use more than one part at a time. I set a 10% stop-loss per trade, s

#美联储重启降息步伐 Unemployment data will be released in two hours.
$ETH For the past couple of days, the market has been hovering within the narrow range of 3170-3200, clearly waiting for the 21:30 data. The release is very likely to trigger a wave of volatility, so ultra-short-term traders should keep a close eye. Plus, after the US stock market opens, ETF inflows may occur—will the buying pressure keep up?
Recently, the market trend has been quite clear—down during the day, up at night. But today’s ETH pullback isn’t actually that strong; you can clearly see buyers stepping in at the bottom to supp

Trump hints at Hassett as the next Fed chair, early December bottom-fishing aligns with expectations. 12.3 Bitcoin & Ethereum trading strategies
On December 3, Trump introduced Hassett at a White House meeting, stating that the potential Federal Reserve chair is right here. Internationally, Putin and the U.S. envoy Veytko held talks on the Russia-Ukraine peace plan that lasted nearly five hours. Both sides discussed several options for resolving the Ukraine issue. Putin requested the delivery of several important political messages to Trump. Russia and the U.S. reached an agreement but did not

#美联储重启降息步伐 traded $GIGGLE today and made a 100% return in a short-term move. Quick in and out—this intraday swing trading strategy still seems pretty solid right now.
I've been taking profits consistently lately, and honestly, I'm feeling pretty good about my trading. Most of my focus is on intraday trades these days, though I still take some spot opportunities when they come up. It's the end of the year—time to tally up how much I've gained from the market this year.
The pace of the crypto market is getting faster, especially with major coins like $BTC and $SOL leading the way—there are actu

#LINKETFToLaunch
The ETF Store's statement regarding the potential launch of the first spot LINK ETF in the coming days is a significant fundamental factor. ETFs, especially spot ( physical ) ones, simplify access to assets for both institutional and retail investors, bypassing the complexities of directly storing and managing cryptocurrencies. Historically, using ( BTC and ETH ) as examples, such events have often served as strong growth catalysts, triggering long-term capital inflows.
2. Technical Outlook ( as of the data timestamp )
The LINK/USDT chart shows signs of weakness and consolida

#数字资产市场观察 Tonight at 9 PM, the Fed chairman has an important speech, and the crypto market is likely to experience fluctuation. $BTC Friends with holdings, pay attention to risk management and set stop loss, set stop loss.

#数字资产市场观察 Just now! A message has just exploded and woke up the late-night traders.
Reuters reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suddenly submitted his resignation to the White House and would leave after an emergency meeting tonight. Once this news broke, the market went wild—Bitcoin skyrocketed from $81,000 to around $91,000, U.S. stock futures fluctuated wildly, and the dollar index dropped like a broken string.
To be honest, the timing of this choice is quite strange.
At the end of the year, liquidity is already tight, and yet there is a power transition happening at this