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Hong Kong's second round of stablecoin licenses opens, but mainland China remains firm
Market sources indicate that the second batch of compliant stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong has entered the application stage.
Reliable sources reveal that Futu Securities and OSL Group are both actively vying for this batch of licenses.
This means Hong Kong is continuing to promote the compliance and financialization of stablecoins, attempting to secure a position within the global digital asset regulatory framework.
However, on the other side, policy signals remain clear. Last year, the People's Ba

🐋 Arthur Hayes Rebuys HYPE After 3 Months
On-chain monitoring shows that Arthur Hayes, after nearly 3 months of silence, has taken action again, adding 26,022 HYPE tokens worth approximately $1.1 million.
His current address holds a total of 247,334 HYPE tokens, with a total value of about $10.44 million, and floating profits exceeding $2.5 million.
📊 My observation:
When industry heavyweights reallocate assets, it is often seen by the market as a barometer of sentiment and confidence. However, large capital deployments tend to focus more on medium- to long-term logic rather than sho

⚠️ 180M USD Liquidated in 24 Hours, Shorts as the Biggest "Victims"
Latest data shows that approximately 179 million USD was liquidated across the entire network in the past 24 hours.
Among them:
📉 Long positions liquidated about 56.29 million USD
📈 Short positions liquidated about 123 million USD
Main liquidation distribution:
BTC: Longs liquidated 7.47 million USD | Shorts liquidated 42.33 million USD
ETH: Longs liquidated 9.26 million USD | Shorts liquidated 26.20 million USD
Additionally, a total of 102,662 people were forcibly liquidated in the past day.
The largest si

⛳ Prediction market bets are going wild: Rory's chances of winning surge to 70%
The latest data from the prediction market shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Rory McIlroy winning the 2026 Golf Masters" has risen to 70%, a 46% increase over 24 hours.
Currently, the total trading volume of this event contract has exceeded $107 million, with market participation clearly heating up.
📊 Event progress:
This year's 90th Golf Masters is taking place at Augusta National Golf Club.
Rory McIlroy scored 67 in the first round, tied for the lead with Sam Burns
Jason Day, Kurt Kitayama, and Patri

🚀 SOL ETF funds continue to flow in, are institutions quietly increasing their positions?
Latest data shows that the SOL spot ETF had a net inflow of about $11.45M yesterday, with funds continuing to enter this sector.
Among them, the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) became the only product to achieve a net inflow, attracting $11.45M in a single day, with its total net inflow reaching approximately $789 million.
As of now:
📊 SOL spot ETF total net asset value is about $828 million
📊 SOL net asset ratio is about 1.69%
📊 Total historical net inflow is about $975 million
📈 My

⚡ An overlooked macroeconomic shift: The impact of oil on the economy is weakening
The latest research report from the Beautiful Nation Bank points out that since the 1970s, the global economy's dependence on oil has significantly decreased.
Data shows that today, the amount of oil needed to generate the same scale of GDP is only about one-third of what it was in the 1970s.
Back then, the energy shock triggered by the OPEC crisis was seen as a typical stagflation event, causing huge impacts on the global economy. But now, even if similar-scale energy price shocks occur, the overall econo

🏛 The beautiful country's government wallet activity: BTC transferred to Coinbase Prime
On-chain data shows that the related address of the beautiful country's government transferred approximately 2.438 BTC to Coinbase Prime in two transactions about 8 hours ago.
Specifically:
First transaction: 0.46 BTC
Second transaction: 1.979 BTC
These funds originate from Bitcoin assets seized by law enforcement in the Glenn Olivio case earlier.
📊 My observation:
On-chain movements of government addresses have always been a key focus for the market, because once such funds enter trading pl

🐋 Whales "exit early" once, missing a 226% increase
On-chain data shows that a whale who previously off-chain accumulated 163,405 ETH (about $440 million) and 4,000 cbBTC (about $296 million) made a key move three weeks ago.
At that time, the address sold nearly all at cost price, 899,999 RAVE, cashing out about $229k.
But the market then exploded:
📈 RAVE price subsequently increased by approximately 226%
If this position had not been sold, the current unrealized profit could be around $870k.
📊 My observation:
Even whales with huge capital can't precisely catch every market to

⚠️ BTC enters the "compression zone," the next wave could be a 40% move
The current overall crypto market has entered a low-volatility phase:
BTC temporarily at $71,700
ETH around $2,180
In the past few months, Bitcoin has mostly oscillated between $63,000 and $75,000. Meanwhile, the daily Bollinger Bands have narrowed to the tightest level since 2024.
Historical data shows that when volatility is compressed to this extent, the market often experiences a roughly 40% directional move.
📊 Key levels to watch:
Breaking $75,000: could trigger short covering and accelerate the upward

🛢 Crude oil remains volatile at high levels, with funds flowing into the derivatives market.
Recently, geopolitical tensions have continued to disrupt the commodities market, with oil prices fluctuating within a high range. Data shows:
WTI Crude Oil (XTIUSDT) at $94.51, down 1.51% over 24 hours
Brent Crude Oil (XBR) at $93.90, down 1.87% over 24 hours
Although prices have slightly retreated, market volatility has increased, and derivatives trading activity has noticeably risen.
📊 Latest trading data:
XTI (WTI Crude Oil) contracts with a 24-hour trading volume of approximately $30

📊 CPI could become tonight's biggest variable: the key watershed between the US dollar and the crypto market
If the upcoming U.S. CPI data shows a clear acceleration in inflation, especially against the backdrop of rising energy prices due to Middle East tensions, the dollar is likely to receive temporary support. In this case, the difficulty for the dollar to continue weakening significantly will also increase.
But what truly makes the market nervous is not just oil prices.
More critically is the "second-round inflation effect"—whether companies will pass on costs by raising product pr

⚠️ The exchange will adjust multiple contract parameters, and some trading pairs will be temporarily suspended.
The exchange issued an announcement: from April 13 to 16, several USDT-margined perpetual contracts will have their minimum price movement unit (Tick Size) adjusted in batches.
The affected trading pairs include:
BASEDUSDT, GTCUSDT, ENAUSDT, ENAUSDC, GUAUSDT, SIRENUSDT, CHRUSDT, ALICEUSDT, DENTUSDT, OGNUSDT, DYDXUSDT, and others.
Among them, it is important to note that:
⏸ CHRUSDT, ALICEUSDT, DENTUSDT, OGNUSDT, DYDXUSDT will be temporarily suspended during the adjustment period.
📊 M

⛽ Crude oil suddenly surges! Is the macro market starting to stir?
Latest data shows that crude oil prices are rallying in the short term.
WTI crude oil has broken through $100 per barrel, rising 2.04% intraday;
Brent crude oil has topped $95 per barrel, up 1.15% intraday.
The rapid rise in oil prices often indicates that inflation expectations may heat up again, and such macro signals usually trigger a chain reaction in global risk assets.
For the crypto market:
📈 As inflation expectations rise, some funds may reallocate to hedging assets
⚠️ But if it triggers stronger monetary tightening ex

Bulls cover the spread to beat the Wizards, a certain account makes a profit of $190k
In the NBA regular season, the spread result between the Bulls and Wizards has been announced: the Bulls won with the spread. Previously, the account that took the Bulls' spread position had accumulated losses of over $4.3 million, but this game alone yielded a profit of about $190k.
💡 The Prophets channel reports that this account bought approximately $150k worth of Bulls spread 5.5 wins at about $0.56 and about $40k worth of Bulls spread 6.5 wins at about $0.509.
Game review: The Bulls are currently

Bitcoin ETF Wave: Net Inflows Exceed $350 Million Yesterday
Data shows that yesterday (April 9th, Eastern Time), Bitcoin spot ETFs experienced a net inflow of $358 million.
💹 The ETF with the largest single-day inflow:
Blackrock IBIT: Net inflow of $269 million, total net inflow of $63.59B in history
Fidelity FBTC: Net inflow of $53.3345 million, total net inflow of $11.03B in history
📊 As of now, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $93.29B, accounting for 6.44% of Bitcoin's total market value, with a cumulative net inflow of $56.5B in history.
ETF movements often h

On-chain whale activity exposed: 270 million USD in short positions added, BTC and ETH floating profits and losses show a stark contrast
Latest on-chain data, the whale "first set 10 major targets" updated positions: no stop-loss, total short positions have increased to 270 million USD, currently with an overall floating profit of 644k USD.
📊 Position details:
BTC short 2,567 units, opening price $71,554, currently with a floating loss of $644k
ETH short 38,465 units, opening price $2,248, currently with a floating profit of $1.37M
Whale movements often indicate short-term market tr

New Trends in the AI Chip War: Is Anthropic Going to Build Its Own?
Reports indicate that AI giant Anthropic is exploring the possibility of designing its own chips to address the global AI chip shortage. Although still in the early stages, with no team assembled and no definitive plan, this move demonstrates the importance large AI companies place on autonomous computing power.
Currently, Anthropic relies on Google TPU and Amazon chips to power its Claude model, but whether it will develop its own chips in the future will continue to influence the AI computing power competition landscape.
📌

Tonight at 8:30 PM, a major market move may occur as the U.S. Department of Labor will release the March CPI data, including key indicators such as the year-over-year CPI, monthly CPI, and core CPI. These data points often directly influence market sentiment, and if they come in unexpectedly, volatility could spike instantly. Some people only see the news, while others are already waiting for signals. Those who understand will naturally pay attention in advance.
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