Byte_drift1

Bitcoin demand showing early recovery signals.
• Apparent demand turned positive for the first time in 3 months.
• Momentum shift may indicate renewed spot buying interest.
Early accumulation signs emerging.
#BTC

BTC/Gold history:
• 2014 → Bottom after 14 months
• 2018 → Bottom after 14 months
• 2022 → Bottom after 14 months
Current cycle → 14 months into
bear phase.
Timing now aligns with prior cycle bottoms.

BTC/Gold history:
• 2014 → Bottom after 14 months
• 2018 → Bottom after 14 months
• 2022 → Bottom after 14 months
Current cycle → 14 months into bear phase.
Timing now aligns with prior cycle bottoms.
#Crypto

$ETH tightening after the recent drop.
Price compressing inside a narrow triangle.
Break above descending resistance → $2,100–$2,200.
Lose lower support → retest of $1,800.
Decision point approaching.
$ETH ‌

$BTC still moving sideways ahead of key macro data.
Today: US Q4 GDP + PCE Price Index release.
Volatility likely to increase.
Pre-market:
• Nasdaq futures -0.01%
• S&P futures -0.03%
Markets slightly cautious.

🚨 Whale Activity
New positions opened:
• $33M $ETH short (20x)
• $28M $SOL short (20x)
Track record: $23M profit in 4 months with 80% win rate.
High conviction, high leverage positioning. The market will watch closely.

🚨 $ETH Liquidation Map
$4.6B shorts liquidate if ETH pumps 20%.
$4.58B longs liquidate if ETH dumps 20%.
Despite nearly 60% drop from peak, long positioning still heavy.
Market remains highly leveraged both sides.

🚨 Q1 2026 $BTC Positioning Map
Bull case target → $90,000
Bear case floor → $70,000
Current market pricing shows wide $20K range between extremes.
Short term probability of $90K in Q1 still looks low.

🚨 Q1 2026 $BTC Positioning Map
Bull case target → $90,000
Bear case floor → $70,000
Current market pricing shows wide $20K range between extremes.
Short term probability of $90K in Q1 still looks low.
$BTC #BTC ‌

Last cycle, $BTC took around 1.5 years to fill a major CME gap from the 2022 bear market.
Current CME gap sits near $84,000.
If history repeats, gap fills can take much longer than expected.
$BTC ‌

🚨 $ETH Fractal Watch
Current structure closely matching April 2025 pattern.
Similar drop, similar sentiment, similar market structure.
If fractal holds, $1,750 could be a potential cycle bottom zone.
$ETH ‌

🚨 $ETH Historical Signal
Since 2018 → 8 occurrences
• April 2025 → 3x rally
• June 2022 → Cycle bottom
• June 2021 → 2.5x rally
• March 2020 → Generational bottom
• 2018 to 2019 → Multiple 2x moves
Historical probability → Around 90% chance of bottom, strong bounce.
$ETH ‌

Bitcoin four year cycle looks active again.
Top formed about 1065 days after the bottom.
If this pattern holds, next major bottom could be around October 2026.
$BTC ‌

Most people missed selling the real bottom.
Most will also miss buying it.
$BTC cycle bottom is likely around $45K to $50K.
Many are waiting for $30K or lower just like the $10K calls in 2022.
Market psychology repeats.
$BTC ‌

$BTC lost the $70,000 level.
Next major support sits at $68,000 at the 200W EMA.
If this level breaks, probability of deeper correction increases.
Critical zone for market direction.
$BTC

🚨 Altcoin Whale Activity
• $1.14M PENDLE sold
• $1.06M ENA sold
• $954K ETHFI sold
Whale distribution events can increase volatility and trigger short term sentiment shifts in mid cap altcoins.
$PENDLE $ENA $ETHFI ‌

$BTC attempted to break $70,000 resistance but rejection volume increased near that zone.
In my view, a confirmed reclaim with daily close above $70K could open room for roughly 8% to 10% upside, while failure risks revisiting $64K to $66K liquidity range.
$BTC ‌

$ETH has lost the $2,000 level, triggering an immediate ~10% drop.
Next major support sits near the April 2025 lows, where notable liquidation levels are also concentrated.
$ETH ‌#ETH

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$BTC macro support watch:• Lowest level since Nov 2024• Key demand zone: $66K to $70K• Breakdown risk: Potential move toward 300W EMAThis zone remains structurally critical.