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Interest Rate Cuts: The Biggest Scam of 2025
The truth: Cutting interest rates does NOT make BTC x3 in just a few days 🤔 The illusion of “Rate Cuts Pump” On Crypto Twitter, you hear everywhere: “The Fed is about to cut interest rates → BTC will skyrocket immediately!” But after researching all the interest rate cut cycles from 1980 to now, the result is harsh: Most people are under an illusion. 🧠 The Truth Few Talk About Cutting Interest Rates In fact, cutting interest rates is not immediately bullish. On the contrary, it often occurs when the economy is facing problems: 🔻 Growth slows down significantly📉 The risk of recession appears🏦 The financial system shows signs of stress To be blunt: Rate cuts are often a signal of the Fed's “panic mode,” not a “party mode” for the market. 📊 What Does Historical Data Say? 2001 (Dotcom bubble): The Fed continuously cut interest rates but the US stock market continued to crash for many years. 2008 (Financial crisis): Cutting interest rates was almost useless, S&P 500 continued to plummet. BTC had not yet been created at that time. 2020 (Covid crash): The Fed cut interest rates urgently, the market still dumped heavily. Only when the Fed injected massive QE + global liquidity did it create a bull run thereafter. 👉 Conclusion: Rate cuts are only effective if accompanied by large liquidity injections (QE, increasing global M2 ). 📉 So what does this mean for BTC 2025? BTC can completely dip before pumping. The volatility ( will increase sharply around FOMC events. “Smart money” does not FOMO based on interest rate cuts → they observe DXY, inflation, and global liquidity before deciding to enter the market. 💡 Realistic Strategy )Instead of Nurturing Illusions( ✅ Take advantage of the correction: accumulate BTC and quality altcoins when market sentiment is extremely fearful. ✅ Monitor real yield and global liquidity index )M2, QE, new credit( ✅ Don't FOMO after every statement from the Fed ✅ Prepare positions early before the large capital flow in Q4 🔮 Forecast 2025 BTC still has the potential to run up to $150K+, but the main drivers will come from: spot Bitcoin ETFs attracting large capital flows, the halving effect reducing supply, and global liquidity returning. Don't fall for the meme trap: “1 rate cut = BTC x3”. 👉 The crypto market does not follow the short-term “rate cuts narrative.” 👉 It runs according to the real money flow and the big macro story. Stay alert, prepare early, and don't be led by hopium 🚀