The negotiation hasn't even started and it's already collapsing? In this Middle East situation, it's no longer about who is right or wrong.

Many people watch the news and like to ask one question:
Who is right and who is wrong?
But in this situation, that question is meaningless.
The ceasefire was broken immediately, Iran accused of violating the agreement, Israel continued operations, and the US pushed for negotiations — all three are doing what is most beneficial for themselves.
This is not a moral issue; it's a matter of interests.
Why does Iran emphasize that the terms have been broken?
Because it needs "legitimacy."
Why does Israel continue airstrikes?
Because it needs a "security margin."
Why does the US promote negotiations?
Because it wants a "controllable situation."
All three logics are valid, but when put together, they conflict.
So now we have this situation:
👉 No one is willing to back down
👉 But no one wants to lose control
This is the most dangerous kind of balance.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is Iran's "chip";
The escalation of airstrikes is Israel's "pressure";
Negotiation arrangements are the US's "buffer."
When these three factors stack up, it creates a classic game theory triangle.
What does the market fear most?
It's not bad news, but "whipsawing."
Today a ceasefire, tomorrow conflict, the day after negotiations.
The more chaotic the rhythm, the greater the risk.
So stop asking "Will there be fighting," the real question is:
How long will it last, and in what manner will it be fought. #美伊停火协议谈判再生变故