# 美伊停火协议谈判再生变故

🚨 Gold is falling, oil prices are soaring, crypto volatility is amplifying — the real big market signal is here!
Today’s macro market, the amount of information is very large 👇
📊 Key data overview:
🟡 Gold: $4,708 per ounce (-0.86%)
⚪ Silver: -1.70%
🛢 Oil prices surge:
👉 WTI: +8.99% (104 USD)
👉 Brent: +7.27%
💱 Forex:
👉 US dollar strengthens (both against RMB and Yen)
📉 Crypto volatility:
👉 BTC volatility (BVIX): 45.95 (+3.89%)
👉 ETH volatility (EVIX): 67.48 (+4.46%)
🧠 What does this data indicate?
One sentence summary:
👉 Safe-haven assets are divergin

Evening Mainstream Cryptocurrency Short-term Trading Point Reference 📊
Good evening, brothers~ Due to the impact of the failed US-Iran negotiations, Bitcoin surged then pulled back. Less than 10 days remain for negotiations; pay close attention to news developments. Tomorrow is Monday, switching to weekly charts. Below are simplified trading points for reference only!
🔹 BTC (Bitcoin)
Core support: 70,000 (key level for weekly chart reversal)
Long entry: Needle insertion around 70,000-69,000
Stop-loss level: 69,000
Rebound resistance: 72,000
Bullish targets: 73,800 → 74,500 → 75,500
Trading i

How many times do I have to say, a rebound is an opportunity to buy the dip! Once again, 110k traders got liquidated, and last week I kept emphasizing that this rally is just a "castle in the air" type of rise. Negotiations to fundamentally change the market are very unlikely, and sure enough, over the weekend, the talks collapsed. Bitcoin dropped straight from 73,000, retracing to around 71,000 and struggling. Those who followed Ah Hao's buy-the-dip strategy are once again well-fed!
Monday $BTC : Around 71,000-71,500, the higher the better. Watch 70,500-69,800.
Technical analysis: Bitcoin's d

#美伊停火协议谈判再生变故 1. The Israel-Iran Ceasefire Breakdown: Why Did Talks Fail? (Latest as of April 12)
1. Timeline of Events
• April 8: Announced a two-week temporary ceasefire, BTC surges past 72.7k
• April 9: Israel airstrikes Lebanon; US denies "Lebanon included in ceasefire," Iran says the agreement foundation is damaged
• April 11–12: 21-hour negotiations in Islamabad, completely broken down, no consensus
• April 12: Both sides withdraw troops, threaten to restart military operations
2. Three Major Core Disagreements (Main Reasons for Breakdown)
• Ceasefire Scope: Iran insists including Lebano

The Iran-U.S. talks have collapsed! The Strait of Hormuz stalemate persists—will oil prices, gold, and the crypto world all change dramatically?
Stop just watching international news for entertainment. The direct collapse of Iran-U.S. negotiations means the U.S. delegation has already packed up and returned home. If the situation at the Strait of Hormuz remains half-blocked or not for a few more months, the global economy could be thrown into chaos, and ordinary people's wallets will also be affected!
Many think that such geopolitical major events are far from themselves, but that's a big mist

Saylor: Bitcoin's First Step Toward "Personal Ownership of Wealth" 🪙
Renowned Bitcoin supporter Michael Saylor states that the greatest significance of Bitcoin is not just its price increase, but that it allows anyone to directly own and control their own value, no longer relying on banks, governments, or companies as intermediaries.
📊 Why is this important?
In traditional financial systems, assets usually need to be held in custody by banks or financial institutions, but Bitcoin, through blockchain technology, enables individuals to directly control their assets and private keys.
🧠

Core Logic and Risk Warning
I. Core Bearish Logic
1. Geopolitical uncertainty: the third round of negotiations in Islamabad has failed to reach a framework agreement; the temporary ceasefire is about to expire; the risk of a restart of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East is high; market risk-averse sentiment is rising; and risk assets are under pressure.
2. Macro liquidity pressure: U.S. CPI inflation data surged sharply; market expectations for a Fed rate cut are pushed back; the U.S. Dollar Index strengthens; and valuations of risk assets such as cryptocurrencies face pressure.
3. Tech

Monday, Yimei's talk collapsed, and geopolitical crises are emerging, leading to a sharp drop at the opening!
In the early hours, it oscillated and fell back to around 70500, now slightly rebounding, mainly showing short-term wide fluctuations, no chasing trades during the day, go for high short and low long.
71200-71600 short, watch around 70200-69500
70200-69500 long, watch around 71200-71700

That move by the blonde hair guy is really unbelievable😂😂😂 It's a typical case of not being able to steal someone's bicycle, so you just lock it up for them!
Next week's key risk events: US CPI data, progress on the "Clarity Act" review, speeches by Federal Reserve officials, and changes in Middle East tensions, all could cause sharp market fluctuations.
A short-term rebound does not mean the bull market is restarting; the medium-term trend has not yet reversed, so do not blindly chase highs!!
It is expected that the market will continue to fluctuate between 70,000 and 75,000 in the o