TradingAnalysis_XiaoZhi

Can I trade with 100 dollars? How can I grow and strengthen my account with 100 dollars?
Many new friends are willing to use a small amount of $100 to participate in the market when they first start trading. At the beginning, they might choose to participate in the market with $100, $200, or $500. They have even thought about how to turn $100 into $1000, and they have also considered how to make $100 grow to $1000.
So, is this line of thinking feasible? Can we really grow a small account of 100 dollars or so into something bigger and stronger? Let's take 100 dollars or 200 dollars as an exampl

Recently, there has been a phenomenon in US stocks that I think many people haven't realized yet.
AI is not over.
It's just that capital has started to shift from "only buying NVIDIA" to gradually spreading across the entire industry chain.
The recent performance of the storage sector is the best example.
Stocks like Micron (MU), Western Digital (WDC), SanDisk (SNDK), and Seagate (STX) have clearly become active during this period.
Many people might think that they are just rising along with AI.
I, on the contrary, believe that the market is starting to trade the second phase of AI.
In the fir

Today's ETH (Daily Update)
ETH Current Price: $1,778
Directional Bias: Consolidation (Slightly Bullish 55%)
Short-term Support: 1,760
Strong Support: 1,735
First Resistance: 1,805
Second Resistance: 1,840
Core Today: Is the area around 1,778 simply exchanging hands, or is it gathering momentum to break 1,800?
Today, ETH is not as strong as BTC, but it's also not as weak as one might imagine.
I've been watching the 1,778 level for a long time.
If you only look at the candlesticks, you'd think today is boring—just oscillating around $1,800.
But if you watch the order book, you'll see that what's

Today's BTC
BTC current price: around $61,300
Direction bias: bearish consolidation (60%)
Short-term support: 60,800
Strong support: 59,800
First resistance: 62,000
Second resistance: 63,200
Today's core: Is this decline the final shakeout, or is the trend starting to weaken?
When I was watching the market tonight, the first thing I looked at was not how much BTC had dropped.
I directly checked who was selling.
After I got the answer, I wasn't that surprised.
The biggest news today was not the Fed or ETFs, but Strategy disclosing the sale of 3,588 BTC, worth approximately $216 million. This di

#Today's ETH
ETH current price: approximately $1,755
Direction bias: Slightly bullish oscillation (60%)
Short-term support: $1,730
Strong support: $1,680
First resistance: $1,780
Second resistance: $1,830
Core question today: Is this ETH rally truly backed by capital inflows, or just following BTC's rebound?
When I was monitoring the market tonight, I didn't first check how much ETH had risen.
I opened the ETH/BTC trading pair first.
Because at this level, whether ETH moves up or down a bit doesn't matter much. What I care about more is whether capital has started actively selecting ETH.
After

Today BTC is hovering around $62.8k, and for the first time, I've started to feel that the real test for the bulls isn't the upward move, but whether they can hold the line.
This morning I sat down to watch the market, and instead of looking at the K-line first, I put together ETF fund flows, on-chain activity, and the order book.
Because over the past few days, something interesting has happened in the market.
The price has started to recover, but the market hasn't become FOMO again.
This is completely different from the previous rebounds this year.
BTC has now returned to around $62.8k. This

Trading Room Weekly Review | Issue 2
At the end of this week, I went through all my charts again.
BTC, ETH, Gold, the US Dollar Index, US stocks…
In the end, I found that what really changed this week wasn’t prices, but the market starting to reprice risk.
Many people think BTC rose a lot this week, with sentiment warming up, and the comments gradually shifting from "how much lower can it go" to "is a new high coming again."
But if you ask me what the biggest change was this week?
I have only one answer.
Institutions started coming back a bit, but retail came back much faster.
That’s what I’m

Today, BTC has reclaimed the $60,000 level, but oddly I’m less optimistic than I was yesterday.
When many people see the price regain an integer mark, they start shouting “reversal.” The first thing I did this morning wasn’t to open BTC—it was to check ETF fund flows and the U.S. Dollar Index, because I wanted to know whether this rally is driven by real buying, or whether it’s just short-covering.
The answer makes me a bit hesitant.
Last night, U.S. spot BTC ETFs again saw net outflows of nearly $300 million, and the outflow state has been maintained for several consecutive days. Institutiona

What changed my view on BTC today wasn’t the 2% drop—it's that despite the 2% drop, nobody panicked.
Sometime after 9 AM, I kept watching the order book. To be honest, I originally thought that after last night’s breakdown below 60k, the Asian session would continue to see selling pressure and stampedes. But it didn’t.
Instead, a signal appeared that I actually prefer to see—the price was probing lower, but trading volume wasn’t expanding along with it.
What does that mean?
It means that the people who truly wanted to sell had already sold most of their position last night.
Now the market has

ETH has no moves today?
Instead, I think this is the most interesting chart in days.
A lot of people find consolidation boring, but I’ve developed a habit after years of trading: the quieter the market, the more seriously I take it. Because truly big moves rarely start when everyone is excited.
ETH has been holding steadier than many expected in the past two days. Not because bulls are strong, but because bears are hesitating.
If you’ve been watching the order book closely, you’ll notice a detail. A few days ago, every bounce was immediately met with sell pressure; today is different. When the

Today's biggest signal for BTC is not the price.
It's that institutional funds are still pulling out.
Many people think that after such a big drop, it should bounce back.
But my view is clear.
Right now, I won't rush to buy the dip just because the price is cheap.
Why?
Because what really affects BTC in this round is not retail sentiment, but institutional funds.
Over the past few trading days, US spot BTC ETFs have seen continuous net outflows. On June 29 alone, about $231 million flowed out, and the entire June also recorded one of the worst single-month capital performances since the ETFs w

The biggest signal for gold today isn’t that it’s falling.
It’s that the market is starting to believe again that the Fed won’t rush to cut rates.
Now that gold has come this far, many people are still asking whether they can buy the dip.
My answer is clear.
For now, I still won’t rush to catch it.
Why?
Because the core of this downturn isn’t that gold has a problem.
It’s that capital is flowing back into the US dollar.
When the market reprices “higher interest rates for longer,” the dollar strengthens, Treasury yields stay elevated, and gold—being a non-yielding asset—naturally comes under pr

If you ask me now who looks most like a champion in this World Cup.
My answer wouldn't change.
France.
Not because they play the most beautiful football, but because they are the team most capable of bringing the championship home.
Even the world's largest on-chain prediction market, Polymarket, now has France at the top of the championship probability, with an implied probability close to 19%, ahead of Argentina and Spain.
For a prediction market that aggregates billions of dollars in trading volume, this ranking itself represents the attitude of capital.
But I'm bullish on France, not becaus

I think many people have misread this BTC decline.
The market is not turning bearish.
The market is shaking people out.
Recently, many people in the DMs have been asking me, "Should I run now?"
I actually think that those who really should have run are already long gone.
What's left are either long-term capital or people ready to catch the falling knife.
Why?
Because this sell-off has no real negative news behind it.
ETF outflows, a stronger dollar, U.S. stock corrections—these are just triggers.
What really drove BTC down was leverage.
A large number of high-leverage longs were liquidated con

Brothers, do you think there is still a bottom? This is my fren's Position. Since mid-October, I have had a live broadcast mentioning a target of 98k. He is unwilling to stop loss. Do you think his Position is safe? Tomorrow, I will have another live broadcast to analyze it for him. Do you all think I can help him breakeven?

Should short-term traders participate in non-farm payrolls?
Today I want to talk about an old topic - Non-farm.
Every first Friday of the month, at 8:30 PM Beijing time. Traders from all over the world are waiting.
I am waiting too.
But I don't trade.
Why?
Because non-farm is not an opportunity, it is a trap.
You can't guess this thing at all.
It doesn't have the logic of interest rate hike points; it feels more like rolling dice. Once the data is released, the spreads soar, slippage goes out of control - stop-loss is triggered early, and take-profit is delayed in execution. Do you