ZhouXinSaysGold

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Intradaily Asian-session gold and silver lead the drop. In the near term, precious metals overall have continued to weaken, with the selling pressure steadily increasing, and the market is gradually tilting toward a bearish trend.
In terms of fundamentals, the negotiations between the US and Iran have produced no results, the risk of large-scale conflict remains relatively low, and market risk-aversion sentiment has cooled. Combined with oil prices staying at high levels, global central banks overall maintain hawkish monetary policies, with no sign of easing expectations. Some central banks
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From the hourly chart structure, the price has been slowly recovering and rising from below the lower Bollinger Band, gradually testing the middle Bollinger Band level. During the upward move, it faces clear suppression from the middle band, and the rebound strength for the bulls is limited. Currently, the bears have not taken the chance to break down below the key bottom support. Bulls and bears are pulling back and forth in ongoing contention, so the overall trend direction is unclear. In all likelihood, the intraday market will remain range-bound and oscillate.
Trading idea: If the price re
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Crude Oil Market Analysis
The 4-hour timeframe remains volatile with wide fluctuations, short-term volatility intensifies, and the overall trend remains bullish. The core support comes from Middle Eastern geopolitical risks; the current situation is only a temporary easing and has not been fully resolved. Any small disturbance could trigger a renewed rally in oil prices.
The large fluctuation range can be seen between 84-100. Intraday trading ideas:
When rebounding near 100, consider a small short position with proper stop-loss. If it pulls back, watch for support around 90. Once stabilized, c
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The weekly gold chart closed with a downward candle, marking the first bearish candle since a four-week consecutive rebound. The bullish momentum has clearly weakened, combined with complex and volatile market fundamentals, the trend has entered a phase of significant fluctuation and correction. Unexpected events over the weekend caused short-term market volatility; gold rebounded after hitting a low in the early session, but multiple daily moving averages are flat, with no clear direction, and the four-hour chart also remains in a range of oscillation.
The situation in the Middle East is grad
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Gold Market Weekly Analysis
This week, gold opened with a pattern of first falling and then rising. The intraday low tested the 4672 area, after which it quickly moved to fill the gap and surged strongly, rising to around the 4709 area. It is currently trading near $4720. Last Friday, spot gold closed at $4708 per ounce, up 0.3%, but overall last week it fell by more than 2%, marking the first weekly decline in five weeks. Driven by concerns over inflation and uncertainty in the US-Iran situation, market sentiment has remained cautious.
From the basic news standpoint, the US-Iran second round
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Pre-announce the long strategy at gold 4675-4680, the market perfectly surged straight to the target, precisely timing the rhythm, demonstrating full strength throughout, and steadily securing profits ✨
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4.24 Market Analysis: Gold consolidates with oscillations, crude oil breaks strongly
Today’s market shows a pattern of gold weakening and oil remaining strong under pressure. Gold has fallen back from high levels and lost the $4,700 mark, entering a wide-range consolidation. The Fed’s rate cut expectations are delayed, and geopolitical safe-haven plays are intensifying, making the short-term outlook slightly weak, while the medium- to long-term bull market remains unchanged. Crude oil has surged strongly driven by Middle Eastern geopolitical factors, with WTI breaking above $98, and ongoing su
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In the early trading session, gold experienced a weak rebound after a decline, with four-hour low-level oscillation correction, originally expecting a low-range long position. The market trend is relatively weak, and the price is unable to break through the key resistance at 4775, breaking below the intraday support platform, forming a bearish structure with high and low points moving downward simultaneously, indicating a complete reversal of the short-term trend.
Currently, gold prices have fallen from the high of 4891, with a low of 4657.82, and bearish momentum is sufficient. Coupled with t
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Gold and Crude Oil Price Trend Analysis
Iran releases a large poster declaring control over the Strait of Hormuz, which is essentially a signal of escalating geopolitical tensions, rather than a direct move to implement a full blockade. As a critical global energy transportation route, this statement will directly boost market risk aversion sentiment and intensify commodity price fluctuations, but it is unlikely to trigger extreme market movements in the short term.
Regarding crude oil, supported by geopolitical risk premiums, a significant decline is unlikely. The strait accounts for nearly 3
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Due to the uncertainty in the geopolitical situation in the Strait of Hormuz, risk-averse sentiment has intensified in the market, and a large volume of buy orders has poured in to support oil prices. The Strait of Hormuz accounts for nearly 20% of global energy transportation supply. As control of the shipping lanes remains in Iran’s hands, geopolitical risk continues to provide fundamental support for crude oil.
From a daily perspective, oil prices have already fallen below the entire moving average system, and the medium-term trend has officially entered a turning point. The market’s pace h
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Currently, the market is clearly caught in tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces. The gold price has been fluctuating back and forth between 4700 and 4790, and there is no sign of a breakout into a one-sided surge or plunge.
Yesterday, gold overall mainly traded in a range. It opened at 4720.7, and the market saw a slight drop, with the low reaching 4715. Then it slowly rebounded and moved higher, with the peak rising to 4773. After that, the market remained stable and continued to trade sideways with fluctuations.
Fundamentals show that bullish and bearish factors are about evenly mat
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Yesterday, gold saw a slight pullback and moved lower, mainly driven by uncertainty and maneuvering in the lead-up to the US-Iran negotiations, which put pressure on the bulls and weakened momentum. The market’s focus is entirely on the negotiations between the two sides today. Market expectations are that the talks will bring modest easing progress. If key issues advance beyond expectations, market sentiment will improve, which will directly be bullish for gold to move higher.
At present, trading in the gold market is relatively quiet, with less speculative capital positioning. In the short t
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From the 4-hour chart, in the short term, gold’s support zone is first seen at 4700-4710.
The key support below is around the overnight low of 4668-4670. After the market makes a slight pullback and adjustment, the bulls still have the momentum to push higher and refresh the highs.
The short-term resistance overhead is at 4780-4790—this level is also the key turning point of last night’s decline.
Overall, the trading approach is simple and clear: when the market pulls back and corrects, prioritize going long on dips.
Trading reference
When gold pulls back into the 4710-4725 range, enter a long
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In the evening, it was clearly indicated that a break below 4760 support would lead to weakness; the market, as expected, probed lower. The logic behind the confirmation of a key level being broken has been validated, and going with the trend is king.
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Yesterday, gold relied on the 4780 level and implemented a low-buy strategy precisely, locking in gains. Long positions at 4788, 4784, and 4795 all came in with full profits. In the oscillation-recovery phase, profits were substantial. Trump announced a second round of negotiations between the US and Iran, and the market fell into a wait-and-see mode!
Today, first look for oscillation in the 4837-4780 range. The daily moving averages are converging, and the long-term bullish structure remains unchanged; at key levels, a major one-sided move may be on the way. During the oscillation period, ind
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