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The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady for the third consecutive time, with a rare 8-4 split vote highlighting internal disagreements. Powell is stepping down as chair but remaining as a governor; this article analyzes his deeper impact on the crypto market.

On April 29, Meta announced that it is rolling out USDC stablecoin payments for creators in Colombia and the Philippines, with Stripe providing infrastructure support. This marks its first return to the crypto payments space since the failure of its Libra project four years ago.

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#Polymarket每日热点
Do I think Elon Musk will win his lawsuit against OpenAI? The outcome is "no," meaning Musk will lose the case.
My reasoning is:
1. Questionable standing to sue: Musk filed a "violation of charitable trust" lawsuit as an individual donor, but under California law, ordinary donors usually lack standing to sue unless they can prove a "special interest." Although the judge cited a 1964 precedent allowing the case to proceed to trial, experts generally believe this interpretation is broad, and the legal basis remains weak.
2. Lack of key evidence: OpenAI argues that it never promised to remain a nonprofit permanently, and the restructuring plan has been approved by the California and Delaware attorneys general, providing regulatory backing. Meanwhile, Musk's side lacks direct evidence such as written agreements to prove that the original nonprofit commitment was legally binding.
3. Difficulties in obtaining relief: Even if the jury finds OpenAI liable, the judge has made it clear that the final remedy will be at their discretion, and may only involve returning Musk's original investment (about $38–45 million) plus interest, rather than his main demands—removing Altman, dissolving the for-profit structure, or restoring the nonprofit status.
My usual betting strategy is to "buy the dip" when the probability of losing is relatively low, and sell when the probability is higher, engaging in swing trading.

#Gate广场五月交易分享 The U.S. crypto regulation faces a key milestone in May: advancing the Market Structure Act and predicting the implementation of a market ban
The U.S. crypto regulation reaches a critical point in May: the progress of the Market Structure Act and predictions of a market ban being implemented. Washington in May is becoming the focal battleground for the crypto industry. The U.S. crypto Market Structure Act is gaining significant momentum in the Senate Banking Committee, with legislators aiming to hold a review hearing in mid-May.
Chairman Tim Scott said the bill has entered the "red zone," hoping to submit it for Senate vote in June or July.
Core disputes: three major hurdles to overcome
Despite strong push efforts, several key disagreements remain unresolved. How to define the attribution of stablecoin yields, how to incorporate moral clauses, and how to handle the crypto interests linked to the Trump family have become critical variables influencing the bill’s direction.
Senator Thom Tillis explicitly demanded the committee chairman to advance the review but warned, "If the bill does not include moral clauses, I will oppose it." Senator Angela Alsobrooks also emphasized that to secure bipartisan votes, illegal finance and moral issues must be addressed. Senator John Kennedy, due to disputes over housing legislation, currently does not support crypto legislation. The industry generally remains cautious. Industry estimates put the bill’s passage probability at only 15% to 25%, down from Galaxy Research’s previous estimate of about 50%, which has been significantly lowered after recent disputes intensified.
Trump’s interest links: the moral sword hanging over the bill
Bloomberg estimates that Trump has profited at least $1.4 billion from his crypto projects, including the DeFi stablecoin project World Liberty Financial and a 20% stake in mining company American Bitcoin. This financial relationship has been repeatedly mentioned during Senate debates, serving as a catalyst for pushing moral clauses.
Senate takes urgent action: banning senators from trading prediction markets
Meanwhile, the U.S. Senate unanimously passed S. Res. 708, a resolution banning senators from trading in prediction markets, effective immediately. The proposal was introduced by Ohio Republican Senator Bernie Moreno, aiming to curb insider trading.
The trigger was: a Polymarket account bet on Venezuelan President Maduro’s "resignation" and profited $400k, raising concerns over insider information. Last week, U.S. Army soldier Gannon Ken Van Dyke was arrested over this. Kalshi’s founder called this "an important step," and Polymarket expressed full support. If the Market Structure Act proceeds as scheduled in May, it will mark a key turning point in U.S. crypto regulation from "enforcement-led" to "legislation-led." However, the game over moral clauses and the political controversy over Trump family interests may delay negotiations.
For miners and crypto practitioners, the legislative window from May to July will directly influence the shaping of the industry’s compliance framework. Bitu previously reported that the White House crypto advisor recently indicated that other obstacles to the Clarity Act are gradually being cleared, but the tug-of-war over moral clauses continues.

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#BTC #ETH #GT

#比特币现货交易量新低 Bitcoin BTC/ETH consolidating with decreasing volume, approaching a turning point
1. Macro key signals (impacting today’s market)
1. The Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates + Wosh’s nomination advancing: Short-term liquidity expectations are neutral to slightly warm, but the rate cut window is delayed until after June, institutions are reluctant to chase high, favoring “buy on pullback.”
2. Tensions between the US and Iran + increased geopolitical risk aversion: Gold and US Treasuries slightly strengthen, crypto market risk sentiment rises, high-position funds are more willing to take profits.
3. Key milestone on May 5th: Trump’s “Bitcoin Strategic Reserve” executive order approaches: Market anticipates pre-emptive betting, large fluctuations may occur in early May.
4. Spot BTC ETF net inflow in April hits a new high since October last year: Institutional long-term buying logic remains unchanged, pullbacks are buying opportunities (consensus among big influencers).
2. BTC Market Analysis (mainstream opinion from influencers: oscillating bottoming, waiting for a breakout)
Core support: $75,500 (20/100-day moving averages + historically dense buy zone, about 298k BTC accumulated here), as long as it holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
Strong resistance: $77,150, a daily close above can see a rebound to $77,500; $79,500 is April’s high, a breakout opens the door to $80k range.
Consensus among influencers: narrow oscillation between $75,500–$77,000, a breakout could happen within the next two days; a break below $75,500 targets $74,000, losing $73,000 would break the uptrend.
Trading suggestion: Hold spot, buy on dips in batches; wait-and-see on futures, add longs after breaking $77,150, stop-loss and exit if below $75,500.
3. ETH Market Analysis (mainstream influencer view: weak, rebound is shorting opportunity)
Core support: $2,220, if broken look to $2,180, strong support at $2,120.
Strong resistance: $2,330–$2,350 (21-day moving average + EMA50 resistance), only a volume breakout above $2,400 targets $2,500–$2,550.
Influencer consensus: ETH is clearly weaker than BTC, MACD on hourly chart shows strong bearish momentum, rebounds are opportunities to short; do not hold longs below $2,350.
Trading suggestion: Hold spot for now, no bottom-fishing; on futures, short lightly on rebounds between $2,330–$2,350, stop-loss above $2,400.
4. Gold Market Analysis
News interpretation:
The Fed is hawkish, delaying rate cuts, US Treasury yields strengthen, dollar strengthens; oil prices push inflation persistence, suppressing rate cuts; short-term funds take profits, ETF slightly outflows.
In the short term, high interest rate expectations suppress gold, but medium to long-term geopolitical tensions + central bank gold purchases still support prices.
Technical analysis: Daily chart continues downward, yesterday closed with a bearish candle with a lower shadow, emphasizing that around 4520 is a good level for northbound moves, and this dense zone is still relevant. Despite negative news, buy orders in this area are strong, and there is a bullish divergence on the hourly chart, indicating momentum is gradually digesting. The rebound strength appears weak on the market; focus on the 4480–4520 zone today. Use this zone for a medium-term bullish outlook, and after news shocks, the market will gradually calm down. The subsequent process may involve sideways correction, with upward movement requiring time. Wait patiently, with strategy to buy north of 4520, with support at 4460, and targets at 4600–4700–4800–5000 (can hold positions).

Disclaimer: The above information is for reference only, not trading advice. Cryptocurrency markets are high risk; participation should be cautious.

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#Gate13周年 #下一个13年预测
My Day in 2039
⏰At dawn, I wake up to the call of my robot nanny. The first thing I do after getting up is call my Blue Lobster to report my asset status and global financial market news, checking how much I earned last night under AI management. By this time, the Blue Lobster is no longer just a simple crypto AI agent, but has become my butler, handling work, social interactions, and property management. At this moment, the Blue Lobster reports: “Today’s Bitcoin price is $6.66 million💰, the USD to RMB exchange rate is 1:1💵, the Nasdaq index is 31,000 points, gold price is $9,900, crude oil is $20, your assets are......“
At this moment, I am being washed by a robot. After hearing the Blue Lobster’s report, I say, “Open a 1000X long position on 10 more Bitcoin,” then I go downstairs to eat. When paying, I didn’t use any Alipay or WeChat, just a face scan at the POS machine to complete the payment. In 2039, the Web3 identity system has completely freed itself from dependence on centralized platforms. Everyone has a unique, tamper-proof on-chain identity, which is no longer just a cold string of code but a “digital personality” containing personal growth history, credit records, skill certifications, social relationships, and naturally, your asset situation.
Walking out of the restaurant, the Blue Lobster has already remotely parked my “Wuling Rongguang”🚙 at the restaurant entrance. In 2039, with fully widespread autonomous driving, people no longer need to park themselves or find their cars in parking lots. The “Wuling Rongguang” has also become China’s Porsche thanks to technological advancements.
Sitting in the self-driving car, I open my GateAPP. At this moment, the Gate exchange has been renamed “Gate Asset Exchange.” In this era where all assets can be tokenized on the blockchain, Gate can now trade not only digital currencies, traditional financial assets, and prediction markets but also real estate, cars, even fashion brands, water, electricity, and gas bills—all can be purchased on Gate.
After lunch, I decide to visit the villa I just bought on Mars🏡, and I’ve booked my SpaceX seat🚀. Since I subscribed to SpaceX’s PreIpos shares on the Gate exchange in 2026, as a shareholder, I only need to pay a low price for a round trip to Mars.
Upon arriving on Mars, I head straight to my villa, which I also purchased on the Gate exchange. Buying and selling is as simple as trading Bitcoin—just match with an interested seller, click to buy, and pay with GUSD or Bitcoin to acquire a tokenized asset of the villa. The ownership of this villa will automatically transfer on the blockchain from the seller to my name. In 2039, Gate has finally become the universe’s number one exchange! But this is not the end of the story, just the beginning. The next chapter will be written by all of you in the comments section......

#BTC BTC Intraday Short Selling Plan
Aggressive Shorts (Rebound and Attempt to Short at Current Price)
Shorting Range: 77,000 – 77,400
Stop Loss: 77,900 (Tight Stop)
Take Profit: 76,200 / 75,500
Logic:
The current price has fallen from a high and the rebound strength is limited, still in a weak correction phase. This is a rebound with no strength → continuation downward, using a small stop loss to test the selling pressure above.
Conservative Shorts (Rebound Follow-up)
Shorting Range: 78,000 – 78,600
Stop Loss: 79,300
Take Profit: 76,800 / 76,000
Logic:
If the aggressive short is taken out, it indicates a stronger rebound in the market.
This area belongs to the higher-quality distribution zone of the current structure, more suitable for main position shorts.
Adding to Positions (Confirming Weakness)
Condition: Break below 76,200 with no rebound strength
Add-on Range: 75,800 – 76,200
Target: 74,800 / 73,800
Logic:
Once the current support level is broken, the market shifts from correction to continuation downward.
This is the profit zone in the trend.
Current Structure Judgment
Currently = in a correction phase (weak oscillation), rebound strength above is weakening, support below is repeatedly tested, and the bears are gradually gaining advantage.
Key Points:
77.5k cannot go higher → Bearish structure confirmed
Core Execution:
Aggressive: Attempt to short at the rebound
Conservative: Short after rebound
Add-on: Confirm break below
Sequence:
Try first → Follow with short → Increase position after confirmation
The above is only my personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risks; please bear the gains and losses yourself.

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On April 25, Iran once again escalated its Strait of Hormuz control measures. Bitcoin hovered around $77,500, gold was $4,709, and Brent crude was above $106. With fresh geopolitical turmoil, how will the three major assets move in tandem?