Market Analysis

Culper Research report indicates that Ethereum's Fusaka upgrade caused excess block space, leading to a 90% drop in transaction fees, potentially entering a "death spiral" cycle, resulting in decreased staking demand and network security. The report mentions Vitalik Buterin selling large amounts of ETH, questioning Tom Lee's bullish outlook, and points out BitMine's loss risks held in Ethereum.

Pi Network (PI) tokens recently surged in price, breaking through $0.1900, with a total increase of about 15%. Market sentiment has improved, and the fear index has risen back to 29. However, 20.8 million PI tokens will be unlocked on Saturday, which could increase selling pressure and pose a short-term risk to the price. If it can break through $0.1959, the target price is $0.2613; but a drop below the 50-day moving average could turn the trend bearish.

PANews March 6 News, Glassnode posted on X platform analyzing that the outflow trend of Bitcoin spot ETF funds has stabilized. The 14-day net flow trend has turned upward, indicating that as Bitcoin breaks through $70,000, selling pressure is easing. Institutional demand remains in a tentative stage, but early signs of reaccumulation are beginning to appear.

Elon Musk's X company has launched a beta version of the X Money payment system, allowing users to transfer and manage funds, sparking widespread discussion about XRP integration. Although there are no official plans for cryptocurrency integration at the moment, the market is generally optimistic. Analysts believe that XRP has design advantages for payments, especially with improved regulatory environments, making it more promising. However, the practicality of stablecoins is also under scrutiny. XRP is currently testing the $1.50 technical resistance level. If successfully broken through, it could trigger further gains.

From 01:30 to 01:45 (UTC) on March 6, 2026, ETH achieved a return of +0.99% within 15 minutes, with a price range of 2065.42 to 2088.57 USDT, and an amplitude of 1.12%. The volatility during this window was significantly higher than the daily average, increasing short-term market attention. Liquidity was relatively low, and some large transactions drove the trading volume upward. The main driver of this abnormal movement was the concentrated inflow of whale funds into decentralized exchanges and large transfers. On-chain monitoring detected multiple large ETH fund inflows into DeFi protocols and trading platforms, effectively pushing

Bitcoin has recently continued to hit new lows, currently trading at $70,923, and CryptoQuant has warned that the recent rebound is only a short-term rally in a bear market, with a bull market score of only 10 points. The US stock market has declined across the board, and the crypto market is also under pressure. The future trend depends on whether spot demand turns positive. There are multiple scenarios in the market, including possible sideways consolidation or a drop to the $56,000-$60,000 support zone. Ethereum has shown relative strength in this wave of market movement, but if Bitcoin continues to decline, its support levels will need to be observed.

Glassnode reports that Bitcoin's ETF flows are stabilizing after outflows, coinciding with a price rebound above $70,000. Healthy inflows into ETFs indicate a cautious optimism among institutions, but macro risks persist, necessitating continued monitoring of market trends.

Short-selling firm Culper Research announced that it is shorting Ethereum and related securities, believing that the Fusaka upgrade in 2025 will harm the ETH tokenomics model. The upgrade resulted in a larger-than-expected decrease in Gas fees, and on-chain data shows that the growth in active addresses and transaction volume is driven by low-value transactions. Culper believes Vitalik is aware of this and will continue to sell ETH, expecting ETH prices to decline further.

Bitcoin prices fluctuate due to escalating geopolitical tensions, dropping from $72,000 to $70,000 on March 6. Trump's tough rhetoric on the Iran situation, Iran's refusal to cease fire, and the U.S. military announcing increased strikes have heightened risk aversion. Market sentiment is divided, with some predicting Bitcoin will reach $80,000, but some analysts remain skeptical about a rebound. $72,000 is a key technical level; failure to break above it could lead to a drop toward $64,000.

Foresight News reports that, according to Alternative.me data, the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index dropped to 18 today (yesterday the index was 22, indicating "Extreme Fear"), indicating that the market is in a "Extreme Fear" state.

XRP is struggling to maintain its price above $1.40 amidst selling pressure and a bearish market. Key resistance at $1.48 and support at $1.33 will determine its next movement, with potential for upswing to $1.60 or a drop towards $1.20.

The ongoing military actions by the US and Israel against Iran continue to impact the market. Oil prices surged, causing US stocks and Bitcoin to decline, but Bitcoin's decline was smaller, and it outperformed gold this week. Disrupted energy supplies have sparked inflation concerns, leading to simultaneous declines in stocks and bonds. Investors remain optimistic about cryptocurrencies, with significant capital inflows.

Kaspa (KAS) may be nearing a price bottom as it approaches key technical indicators like Fibonacci levels and a long-term trendline. Analysts suggest the cryptocurrency could stabilize around $0.24, potentially paving the way for a future upward move towards $1, contingent on market conditions.

Polkadot will introduce a new monetary framework on March 12 that sets DOT’s supply cap at 2.1 billion and lowers emissions by 53.6%. The overhaul will also create a Dynamic Allocation Pool and shorten the DOT unbonding period from 28 days to 24–48 hours. On March 12, Polkadot will reset

A large cluster of short positions faces liquidation if SOL reaches $90.6, potentially increasing volatility. SOL trades between $83.00 support and $89.58 resistance, keeping price action compressed in the short term. SOL posts a 0.8% daily gain and rises 0.7% against BTC, holding

XRP is currently trading at $1.35, experiencing a 1.3% decline. Key support is at $1.34, while resistance is at $1.40. The price is testing around the Fibonacci levels of $1.33 and $1.30, crucial for potential upward movement or deeper decline.

Solana approaches a key resistance level near $95, with increased trading volume and open interest signaling active trader interest. The token is currently at $90.20, facing potential upward movement if it surpasses $95, but may test $85 if rejected.

Bittensor (TAO) is standing out again after spending months moving sideways. The AI-focused token has been hovering near a key support zone, and some analysts believe the chart may be setting up for a larger move. Crypto analyst Karamata shared a breakdown of the TAO chart, arguing that

HBAR is trading at $0.09739 and above the S/R flip of $0.094-$0.096 in the 12H chart. The nearest resistance will be at $0.10 with a falling trendline pressure at around $0.104-$0.106. The support is at $0.095835 and a breakdown at the

PEPE is trading at $0.053416, just above support at $0.053414, with significant trading volume up 22.14%. Resistance is at $0.053676. Despite a slight decrease in price, there’s increased market activity, suggesting potential volatility.