As we enter Christmas week, the market rhythm is starting to become unusual. The U.S. stock market will close two hours early on Wednesday and will be closed all day on Thursday, which brings a lot of uncertainty to traders' operations. However, what really attracts attention is whether Trump will announce the candidate for the Fed chair during the holiday season.
Currently, the most talked-about candidate is Kevin Hassett, the director of the National Economic Council, with a nomination probability of about 54%, far ahead of other competitors. Former Fed governor Kevin Warsh has a relativ

#大户持仓动态 $BTC $ETH $UNI
The dilemma of US Treasury bonds, a liquidity turning point is forming.
Recently, when chatting with several overseas institutional investors, the conversation always returns to the same topic - U.S. Treasury bonds. The debt scale of 34 trillion dollars is no longer news, but the underlying logic chain is starting to loosen.
On one hand, the Federal Reserve is caught in a dilemma: raising interest rates does not curb growth, while lowering them would exacerbate the debt burden. The previous commitment to tightening is gradually turning into compromise. On the other hand,

#大户持仓动态 $UNI $ZEC $SOL——The competitive landscape of this round of MEME coin competition has become clear. Currently, there is a noticeable shift in global liquidity, and funds on the Solana blockchain are accelerating their return, providing rare opportunities for certain popular coins.
Unlike those hype-driven projects, the ones that truly survive often have stories and backgrounds. The market is filtering, and the whales are shifting. Changes in on-chain liquidity are often more honest than public opinion—clues can be found in details such as trading pair depth and position distribution.
Th

#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 ⚠️ Japan's inflation rate has surged to 3.0%, surpassing the United States for the first time in 46 years—this signal cannot be ignored. For every 1 percentage point of inflation that exceeds the U.S., it will trigger approximately $100 billion in bond selling. The pressure on the bond market is one thing, but more importantly, expectations for the Central Bank of Japan to raise interest rates are continuously heating up. When these negative factors combine, the downward pressure on the market will be quite evident. Changes in the macro environment often directly affect the

#BTC资金流动性 Bitcoin four-hour chart is oscillating repeatedly in a narrow range, with obvious signs of long positions building up in the pattern.
From a technical perspective, the MACD green bars are continuously contracting - this is a key signal. The DIF and DEA lines are getting closer to the zero axis, and a golden cross is about to form. The bearish momentum is clearly diminishing, while the long positions are accumulating strength, and this contrast is very clear.
In terms of operation, $BTC has already broken through the price level of 89,500 with increased volume. If it continues to ris

The longer Ethereum takes to consolidate, the more intense the subsequent market fluctuations tend to be. My judgment is bearish; a drop is likely to occur tonight or tomorrow. From a technical perspective, the short-term target is to look for a double long wick candle bottoming out at the 2720 position. If it cannot hold, it might even plummet below 2600. That's just how the market is; the longer it holds back, the stronger the explosion when it finally happens. Continue to wait for this wave of plummet to arrive.

#BinanceABCs The weekend market is dull, $BTC is hovering around 88K with little movement.
Yesterday, while scrolling through the chat history, I remembered how arrogant that group of people was when it last surged to 120K. One by one, they patted their chests and boasted: "Oh, as long as it drops to 90K, I will go all in immediately."
When it really gets to 90K or 80K, everyone becomes a spectator. Waiting for lower prices, fearing a rebound, worrying about further declines—reasons come one after another, all kinds of excuses.
Interestingly, every excuse for missing out is different; but the

The recent rise of ANIME has temporarily hit the brakes. Currently, the price is hovering around 0.00731, having fallen below the short-term moving averages (0.00745 and 0.00774 for 7-hour and 25-hour, respectively), but it hasn't broken the 99-hour moving average (0.00604). Overall, it feels a bit of both joy and concern.
Looking up, if it can stabilize in the range of 0.0077-0.0080 (short-term resistance), there is hope to move towards the range of 0.009-0.0093, which is not far from the recent high of 0.00927. Looking down, the recent support is at 0.0068-0.0060, and further down there

#大户持仓动态 $BTC $ETH $BNB
The market always oscillates between two extremes - excessive optimism and excessive panic. Smart people never put all their chips on the table; the liquidity of the market is the real money.
Every key support level, resistance level, and large trading volume is worth keeping an eye on, while always leaving some ammunition in your wallet. When the wind suddenly changes direction, sufficient preparation will allow you to react quickly and even embark on a new wave of upward momentum.
There is a repeatedly verified rule here: when the market is pushed to its lowest point b

#大户持仓动态 Recently, the latest trends have allowed many people to reap the rewards; some have taken profits while others are still waiting and watching. To be honest, no matter how much one earns, as long as a complete cycle is achieved, that is a win – it's not just about the numbers in the account, but also a validation of one's execution ability.
The cryptocurrency market has stories unfolding every day, but the opportunities to seize are often just a few. The key is to stay clear-headed: when signals arise, you need to be aware, be decisive in your decisions, and exit promptly when

During the fluctuation of #美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 , I actually didn't pay much attention, but I did see it drop to zero. Originally, a position of 1000u just disappeared like that. Recently, the fluctuation of the coins $ACT and a few others has been quite intense. Speaking of which, the unexpected strength of the US economic data will indeed affect the market direction, and the entire crypto market has also been shaken. It is only through personal experience that I understand how important it is to control risk. 😭😭

Waking up from a loss-induced nightmare at three in the morning, the red numbers on the screen pricking like long wick candles—assets down 65%, most positions trapped within. It feels like being caught in an endless winter, asking myself every day when this will finally end.
It wasn't until I dug out the long wick candle that had been sealed in my wallet for a long time that I realized what I had missed. In the past six months, it quietly generated an annualized return of 12%, while my other holdings continued to bleed. At that moment, I realized: the real opportunities are not in chasing

#BTC资金流动性 Does Bitcoin really worth 88343.5 USDT?
From a few dollars soaring to nearly $90,000, this continuously rising curve is indeed eye-catching. But looking closely at the underlying logic, it is somewhat heartbreaking—$BTC has no support from the real economy, does not generate real cash flow, and has no widespread practical applications. What is the driving force behind the ever-increasing price? To put it bluntly, it's simply "the next bag holder will come."
The profits gained by early participants essentially come from the funds invested by later entrants. The money made earlier

#以太坊行情解读 A young man had only 800 USDT in his hands, and three months later his account multiplied more than 20 times - it's not a miracle, it's just using the right method.
His strategy is very clear, dividing the funds into three parts to use.
**ETH short position occupies 300U**. Only two trades are made each day, and once the stop-loss line is set, it won't be changed. If it hits the loss position, cut it off immediately, never drag it out. Short-term trading is like dancing on the tip of a knife, quick to enter and quick to exit, accumulating small gains. Many people fail bec

Recently, I saw some tragic cases from the XPL competition that left me speechless. Some players, in order to climb the rankings, forced themselves to achieve a trading volume of over 9000, but ended up stuck in the 21-50 position, receiving token rewards of less than 3000, resulting in a net loss of over 6000. Even more desperate are the participants outside the top 50 — they burned several million in transaction volume, and the fees swallowed several thousand, ultimately receiving tokens worth just over a hundred.
This is not about shearing wool at all; it's a money grinder disguised as

The market is undergoing a dramatic adjustment as expected. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in January has plummeted from previous highs to 22%. What does this number reflect? In simple terms, the anticipated easing trend at the beginning of the year is basically out of the question.
Where does the problem lie? Fed Vice Chairman Williams recently sent a signal: the latest CPI data may be underestimated, and the actual inflation pressure is more severe than it appears. In other words, the Fed may need to proceed more slowly and cautiously on the path of interest rate cuts, or

#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 The market data over the weekend wasn't that fierce, with little fluctuation. Instead of stubbornly holding on, it's better to take profit as soon as you have it—if you can make a few hundred points in profit, you should decisively take it. Mainstream Tokens like $BTC and $ETH have relatively calm liquidity over the weekend, making it a good window for stable arbitrage. Especially before and after the release of important economic indicators like US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP), taking profits early can avoid a lot of sudden risks. Greedy traders often suffer big losses; kn

The market tonight feels like facing a great enemy. The strongest interest rate hike from the Bank of Japan in 30 years is just around the corner, and the chat room is filled with screenshots of short orders. Everyone is waiting for the same "script" to unfold: interest rates rise → liquidity gradually dries up → risk assets plummet. Can BTC hold above 80,000? When will the panic sell-off get dumped? This has become the only concern for everyone.
Interestingly, a seasoned trader I know who has experienced three cycles made a "reverse operation" at this time. He calmly adjusted his positions an