Culper Research 發布針對以太坊的做空報告,指控其 Fusaka 升級後通縮模型失效、驗證者中心化風險加劇。本文將深入解析做空邏輯與市場分歧,為 ETH 持有者提供全方位的分析。
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關於 以太幣 (ETH) 的最新消息
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EleventhQuantification
2026-03-09 18:33
【$SAHARA Signal】Long - 1H Breakout and Retest Confirmation, Negative Funding Rate Imminent
$SAHARA The 1H timeframe is showing strong consolidation above EMA20, with price breaking previous highs and retesting for confirmation. The 4H timeframe displays a healthy structure of volume expansion followed by decreasing volume consolidation, with open interest remaining stable, indicating that funds have not exited. Currently, the negative funding rate is as high as -0.1879%, and combined with the firm price, there is potential for a short squeeze.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Order: 0.0248 - 0.0250 (gradually around current price)
🛑Stop Loss: 0.0237
🚀Target 1: 0.0256
🚀Target 2: 0.0261
🛡️Trade Management:
- Execution Strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce position by 50% and move stop loss to entry price. Hold the remaining position for Target 2. If the price retraces and breaks below the moving stop loss, exit all positions.
(Depth Logic: The 1-hour RSI is at 67.88, indicating healthy momentum but not overbought. The order book shows sell orders stacking above 0.0253, but buy-side depth between 0.0250-0.0248 is very solid, forming a strong support. The 4-hour chart shows a high-level doji after a large volume bullish candle, indicating a strong consolidation. Stable open interest suggests that the main players have not exited, and combined with the significant negative funding rate, short positions face high costs, making a short squeeze highly likely. )
View real-time market 👇 $SAHARA
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SAHARA
+22.5%
BTC
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ETH
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EleventhQuantification
2026-03-09 18:30
【$FLOW Signal】Pullback to add longs + 1H pullback confirmation, main force’s intention to defend the market is obvious
$FLOW The 1H timeframe has experienced a significant rally and is now undergoing a healthy pullback and consolidation, with prices finding initial support around 0.048. The 4H timeframe has formed a clear upward trend, with a giant bullish candle establishing a bullish pattern. Current open interest remains stable and has not dropped significantly due to the price correction, indicating that main capital is still in the market. This is not panic selling but a typical profit-taking move. Market depth data shows that buy orders in the 0.0478-0.0480 range are unusually thick, forming a strong support wall.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Order: 0.04384 - 0.04497
🛑Stop Loss: 0.04280
🚀Target 1: 0.04932
🚀Target 2: 0.05150
🛡️Trade Management:
- Execution Strategy: After reaching the first target of 0.04932, reduce position by 50%, and move the stop loss of the remaining position up to the entry price of 0.04497 to lock in profits. If the price strongly breaks through 0.05150, move the remaining stop loss to hold for a bigger trend.
Depth Logic: The 4-hour chart shows that the price has strongly broken through and stabilized above all key moving averages, confirming a trend reversal. The 1-hour RSI has healthy retraced from overbought territory to around 67, preparing for another upward move. The key point is that although the price has pulled back from the high, open interest remains stable, and the funding rate is negative, ruling out the risk of long liquidation. It appears more like shorts are being passively covered. Market logic suggests that rising prices with stable open interest are characteristic of main force entry, not just short covering. The optimized entry zone at 0.0438-0.0450 coincides with the 4H EMA20 support and the previous breakout platform, providing a high-probability sniper point.
View real-time market 👇 $FLOW
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FLOW
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BTC
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ETH
+3.99%
SOL
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GennyCruz
2026-03-09 18:29
Everyone is looking at the 2k level like it's a solid floor but is it really holding?
$ETH is fighting hard to stay above 2024 right now. We had that big drop from the 3k area and since then it has just been a boring sideways movement. Most traders are losing patience here.
Support is clearly around 1900 because every time we dip there the buyers show up. But the problem is the resistance near 2250. We keep hitting it and getting rejected. Until we flip that into support I don’t see any real trend starting.
I’m just watching the volume for now. It’s a bit dry which usually means a big move is cooking. Stay sharp.
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