#美联储降息 The logical chain of the US dollar depreciation is gradually becoming clear. The nearly 10% decline in the US dollar by 2025 is the largest in 17 years, driven by reinforced expectations of Federal Reserve easing—Polymarket data shows a 96% chance of rate cuts before June next year. Trump’s potential replacement of the Fed Chair could further lower interest rates. All these policy signals point in the same direction. From an on-chain perspective, the impact on Bitcoin is quantifiable. Easing monetary policy means the real purchasing power of the dollar continues to decline, and Bitcoin’s role as a non-sovereign asset hedge will be re-priced. ING Chief Economist’s judgment—that the Fed remains in easing mode—actually provides a time frame for this cycle. The key question is how capital flows. Once rate cut expectations shift from the probabilities on Polymarket to actual policy, I will focus on several signals: the scale of institutional spot inflows, changes in whale address holdings, and fluctuations in contract funding rates. These data points can more accurately reflect actual allocation needs, rather than just sentiment. The growth driver in 2026 may truly arrive, but the current focus is on identifying the actual pace of capital entering during the process of gradually confirming expectations.

January 18, 2026 Daily Market Analysis Good afternoon everyone! It's lunchtime now, have you all eaten? During the day, the market remains mainly volatile. The current fluctuation is the market maker preparing for the next wave. The trend is not yet determined, and it is expected that a clear direction will emerge by next Tuesday. Everyone should control their positions well, manage their funds properly, and do not rush. Time and patience are our only weapons against capital as ordinary people. $BTC Bitcoin support at around 94,000 can be lightly longed, prepare to add positions around 93,000, with a stop loss at 92,000. If there's a second surge, that would be even better. Around 99,000 would be perfect. Sharing a high-quality coin entry opportunity every day. Together, let's witness 8 years of real trading experience.

#数字资产市场动态 Weekend market volatility compresses, with Bitcoin repeatedly testing the 9.5k-9.6k range. Such low volatility periods are actually good opportunities to adjust your strategy. Regarding Bitcoin, you can gradually accumulate within the support zone of 94600-94000. If it breaks upward, the target range is 95500-96200. Ethereum's movement is relatively independent; it is recommended to buy on dips around 3280-3250, with resistance levels at 3330-3370 during rebounds. Even when the market calms down, you must maintain a solid risk management bottom line—checking your positions, setting stop-losses, and other basic tasks are all essential. Throughout the cycle, the key is to find a balance between relaxation and vigilance, keeping an eye on the charts while also giving yourself a chance to breathe.