Wintermute: Correlation between crypto and US retail stocks turns negative; US stock activity may serve as a leading indicator

BTC3,22%

Odaily Planet Daily News: Wintermute’s latest report indicates that since the end of 2024, the correlation between retail funds in the crypto market and the US stock market has shifted from positive to negative. The report states that while retail funds have poured into US stocks at record levels, overall trading activity in the crypto market has become more cautious, with the total market cap of altcoins and retail activity declining in sync.

Data shows that the volatility ratio of BTC/NDX has continued to decline, dropping below 2 times in the first half of 2025. As investment tools like ETFs improve and cross-platform trading channels are established, the switching of funds between crypto assets and traditional stocks has become more convenient.

Wintermute believes that retail trading activity in US stocks is becoming an important forward-looking indicator for observing crypto market trends. Investors should consider changes in capital flow from a multi-asset allocation perspective.

View Original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Michael Saylor Hints at Another Strategy Bitcoin Buy as Crypto Leaders Reject Boris Johnson's 'Ponzi' Claim

Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor hinted on March 15, 2026, at another potential Bitcoin purchase by the company, posting "Stretch the Orange Dots" on X in a recurring pattern that has preceded 11 previous acquisition announcements in 2026.

CryptopulseElite26m ago

Supported by ETF fund inflows, Bitcoin shows "strong" rebound near $72,800

Under the influence of capital inflows into U.S. spot cryptocurrency ETFs, Bitcoin prices stabilized last week and touched a high of 73,927 USD, with gains of approximately 6% to 7%. Ethereum also rebounded, indicating a recovery in market risk appetite. ETF capital inflows became the main support factor. Despite volatility in macroeconomic market sentiment, reassuring commentary on inflation and oil price risks helped stabilize prices.

区块客44m ago

XRP Ledger Transactions Triple to 3 Million Daily as Whale Selling Caps Price at $1.40

XRP Ledger transaction volume has surged to nearly 3 million daily in March 2026, nearly triple the 1 million transactions per day recorded in mid-2025, even as XRP price remains rangebound between $1.34 and $1.43 amid sustained whale selling.

CryptopulseElite44m ago

Bitcoin Breaks Through $74,000 Resistance Level, Crypto Market Strengthens Collectively, ETH and SOL Lead Weekly Gains

On March 16, the crypto market continued to rise, with Bitcoin surpassing $74,000, up 2.9% in 24 hours. Ethereum and Solana showed larger gains, indicating capital flowing toward higher-risk crypto assets. An improving macroeconomic environment provided market support, with falling oil prices and a weakening dollar aiding liquidity release. The market is focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, which could impact future interest rate expectations.

GateNews53m ago
Comment
0/400
No comments