After reviewing top institutional prediction reports for 5 years, I found that Wall Street elites are also suckers.
It's the end of the year again. I see a16z just released "Big Ideas," Ryan from Messari wrote a lengthy article, and VanEck is still calling for 180,000 dollars.
It makes people feel excited and eager to sell their house to go all in.
However, as a cautious old sucker, I spent an afternoon translating all the "year-end forecasts" written by these top institutions from 2020 to 2025.
After comparing the predictions from that year with the final results, I reached a conclusion t

After reading Popper's concept of the three worlds, here is my understanding:
The three worlds: the physical world, the mental world, and the intersubjective world.
Most people's suffering stems from their inability to distinguish which world they are truly living in.
We do not live in a single reality but traverse three overlapping layers with entirely different rules simultaneously.
Understanding the boundaries of these three worlds is the first step toward mental maturity.
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1. The Physical World
This is the hardware layer of the universe.
Comprised of atoms, gravity, thermodynamic laws, an

I can't remember how many times I've gone back to my hometown for a funeral.
Every elder's passing takes away a piece of my childhood that was connected to them.
Like puzzle pieces, one after another, lost forever.
Heidegger said that humans are "beings-in-the-world," but eventually we all face "ceasing to be in the world."
Suddenly, I realized a formula about aging:
If life has an absolute value,
when the speed at which you form new connections can no longer keep up with the speed at which old connections break,
that's when you are aging.

In the AI era, you may lose your job, but you will definitely have positions.
Because:
First, AI will break the paradigm of scarcity economics and usher in an era of prosperity; holding positions is key to enjoying the dividends of this era.
Second, there is no strategy that always makes money; complex systems give everyone a chance to become a winner.
Third, human nature is competitive and ambitious; competing with others is endlessly enjoyable.
Fourth, life is a game, and gambling is its meaning.
Jobs will eventually disappear, and trading will be the final game.

Many people want to add smart contracts or interest rate increases to BTC. Frankly, I think that's a directional mistake.
Complex financial derivative functions are the responsibility of ETH and other public chains.
BTC's value comes from its purity.
Once it becomes platform-based, it's lowering itself to compete with Ethereum.
ETH was created as a "fork" to meet complex needs.
Keep BTC pure! That is its unshakable long-term value.

Several stages of blockchain development
BTC, digital gold
ETH, smart contract platform
DeFi, stablecoins, and RWA
Next: AI trust layer

In the AI era, it is essential to study philosophy.
Because AI can memorize more than you, calculate faster than you, and even "understand" more deeply than you.
Any ability that relies on memory and information accumulation will quickly devalue.
True competitiveness no longer comes from "knowing more", but from a framework understanding of knowledge, and philosophy is about "the knowledge of knowledge". It does not discuss specific skills, but provides a worldview that encompasses all things.
AI can generate all the answers, but philosophy teaches you to ask better questions.
It allows you to

In the world of martial arts, speed is the ultimate weapon!
A veteran trader from Shenzhen just told me that he had his team work overnight to prepare six or seven x402 projects, and they haven't even launched yet...
At the speed of the crypto market now, even scam teams can't keep up.

Is it ping or ordi?
The one who defeats ordi is definitely not another ordi.

meme maker, infinite too!
The wise are limited!
With finite beings, pursuing infinite memes,
How can one not lose?

In the past Shenzhen market: just pump, and retail investors rushed forward one after another.
Current Shenzhen market: not only do we need to pump, but we also have to allocate chips to KOLs, and even involve the exchange's cooperation; only when the three parties work together can we barely realize a wave of profit-taking.
Seeing that the market is not as good as before, what remains after the big waves wash away are all true old retail investors.

In the current lack of liquidity, certain big influencers have started advocating meme trades, you must run, absolutely must run, try it if you don't believe me.